Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
065 FXUS65 KLKN 102215 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 315 PM PDT Mon Jun 10 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Extended period of dry and fair weather this week with afternoon breezes and temperatures residing warmer than normal. Cooler this weekend with slight increases in probability of precipitation across northern Nevada early next week. && .SHORT TERM...Tonight through Tuesday Night Any showers and thunderstorms present across central Nevada will dissipate and come to an end thru this evening and the first half of the night. Otherwise mostly clear skies and light to calm winds can be expected with low temperatures in the mid 40s to mid 50s. A closed upper low resides offshore of SoCal Tuesday with generally zonal flow across the forecast area. Dry and relatively benign weather is expected with some afternoon cumulus over the region, particularly central Nevada. Westerly afternoon breezes can also be expected with gusts around 20 mph. Breezes will be focused across northern Nevada given the stronger flow regime. Warmer than average temperatures will be present with daytime highs in the mid 80s to mid 90s and overnight lows in the 50s. && .LONG TERM...Wednesday through next Monday Deterministic models and ensemble guidance brings a closed low along the Southern CA coast to our CWA starting Wednesday. Not much changes are expected other than a relatively zonal flow pattern that will keep conditions quiet and dry. Winds will be breezy out of the west with locally higher gusts. Highs will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s with lows in the upper 50s. By next weekend, a strong Pacific NW trough and cold front approaches the state, bringing cooler temperatures, gusty winds, and chance of precipitation mainly across northern NV. Highs will be in the upper 70s to mid 80s with lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions expected for the next 24 hours with light winds of 5-15 knots at all terminals. Cumulus build-ups will develop this afternoon with a few showers and thunderstorms possible in portions of central and eastern NV, including near KELY. Storms are expected to diminish by the mid to late evening hours. && .HYDROLOGY...Temperatures will continue to reside warmer than average thru Friday before cooling several degrees this weekend. This will allow remaining high mountain snow-pack to continue to melt at a quicker rate. Dry and mostly sunny weather is expected, with little threat of showers or thunderstorms bringing a rain on snow event this week as well. The Humboldt River near Battle Mountain will continue to reside in action stage for the next several days. Wildhorse Reservoir will continue to reside in action stage for the next several days. Lamoille Creek will continue to reside in action stage for the next several days. Diurnal fluctuations in height and discharge will also continue with the creek peaking during the evening hours. The creek may briefly enter minor flood stage while at peak evening flow. The Jarbidge River receded below action stage earlier today and the river flood advisory has been ended. However, flows remain swift and caution should be exercised if recreating near the river. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 92/90/90/92