255
FXUS64 KMAF 260749
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
249 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 233 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

High clouds streaming across the region left over from evening
storms have kept temperatures from falling too much. Most locations
outside of the mountains are still in the 80s. Today looks very
similar to Tuesday as the upper ridge maintains itself centered just
to our west. Highs will climb back into the 100s for most with the
hottest temperatures once again along the Rio Grande (near 110).
Showers and storms are possible once again across SE NM south to the
Davis Mountains. While widespread severe weather is unlikely, a dry
subcloud layer will create gusty winds with any storm. The Permian
Basin will likely remain dry.

Ridging expands over the region Thursday so look for a continuation
of the hot temperatures with storms remaining over the higher
terrain and SE NM.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 233 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

Very little changes Friday other than temperatures climbing a bit
higher. We could need some heat products for a few areas. Storm
chances remain out west, but this changes heading into the weekend.
By Saturday, the upper ridge will weaken and shift east while it
gets squeezed by a trough in the Northern Plains and another moving
across S TX. While we will continue to see scattered storms out west
in the higher terrain, a weak front will fire convection to our
north in the TX PH. These storms along with their outflow could move
south into northern portions of the Permian Basin late in the day.
This is where rain chances will be highest. With added low level
moisture, highs will decrease a few degrees and back into the upper
90s to near 100. Drier conditions are expected Sunday, but
temperatures will remain closer to normal. Ridging builds back
across the area next week with temperatures rising once again and
isolated storms confined to the higher terrain.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1201 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

VFR will prevail through the period. Showers and storms that we
saw in SE NM earlier continue to diminish. Isolated storms are
possible at KCNM by afternoon. Otherwise, expect southeast winds
to continue around 10 kts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring              104  78 104  77 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                103  76 101  76 /  20  20  10  10
Dryden                   99  76 100  75 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton           102  75 100  76 /  10   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           94  72  92  73 /  50  40  20  20
Hobbs                   102  74 100  74 /  10  10   0   0
Marfa                    97  64  96  66 /  60  30  10  20
Midland Intl Airport    102  76 100  76 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                  102  77 101  76 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                    105  78 104  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29