Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
516 FXUS64 KMAF 261042 AFDMAF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 542 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday afternoon) Issued at 233 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 High clouds streaming across the region left over from evening storms have kept temperatures from falling too much. Most locations outside of the mountains are still in the 80s. Today looks very similar to Tuesday as the upper ridge maintains itself centered just to our west. Highs will climb back into the 100s for most with the hottest temperatures once again along the Rio Grande (near 110). Showers and storms are possible once again across SE NM south to the Davis Mountains. While widespread severe weather is unlikely, a dry subcloud layer will create gusty winds with any storm. The Permian Basin will likely remain dry. Ridging expands over the region Thursday so look for a continuation of the hot temperatures with storms remaining over the higher terrain and SE NM. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 233 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Very little changes Friday other than temperatures climbing a bit higher. We could need some heat products for a few areas. Storm chances remain out west, but this changes heading into the weekend. By Saturday, the upper ridge will weaken and shift east while it gets squeezed by a trough in the Northern Plains and another moving across S TX. While we will continue to see scattered storms out west in the higher terrain, a weak front will fire convection to our north in the TX PH. These storms along with their outflow could move south into northern portions of the Permian Basin late in the day. This is where rain chances will be highest. With added low level moisture, highs will decrease a few degrees and back into the upper 90s to near 100. Drier conditions are expected Sunday, but temperatures will remain closer to normal. Ridging builds back across the area next week with temperatures rising once again and isolated storms confined to the higher terrain. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 537 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Seeing a few showers along and west of the Pecos River this morning. Not expecting any impacts. VFR will prevail through the period with southeast winds. Storms are expected to develop by afternoon possibly affecting KHOB and KCNM. Uncertainty in timing will prevent inclusion in current TAFs. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 104 78 104 77 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 103 76 101 76 / 20 20 10 10 Dryden 99 76 100 75 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 102 75 100 76 / 10 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 94 72 92 73 / 50 40 20 20 Hobbs 102 74 100 74 / 10 10 0 0 Marfa 97 64 96 66 / 60 30 10 20 Midland Intl Airport 102 76 100 76 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 102 77 101 76 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 105 78 104 79 / 0 0 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...29 LONG TERM....29 AVIATION...29