Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
221 FNUS72 KMLB 270827 FWSMLB Spot Forecast for C-266-001 Maple Grove Continued...USFS National Weather Service Melbourne FL 427 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 27. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... With the lack of a sea breeze today, southwest winds will persist over the burn site, 5-12 mph. There is a 30% chance of showers through late morning, then a 50% chance for lightning storms from around 2PM until early evening. Erratic, gusty winds up to 40 mph will occur in the vicinity of storms. Dispersion will be very good today. Heat precautions should be taken as heat index readings will likely peak around 102-105 degrees this afternoon. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the morning. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 1-8 strikes until 1200, then 9-15 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 93. Min humidity........55 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the morning. Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon. Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 16 mph. Dispersion index....11 increasing to 79. LVORI...............5 decreasing to 1. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........27 35 43 51 52 53 55 54 52 51 Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 20 30 40 50 50 50 50 LAL.............1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 Temp............79 81 85 86 87 89 89 89 90 92 RH..............92 85 74 72 68 64 61 61 59 55 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..3 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.9 12 13 14 16 17 18 17 18 17 Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 2.3 3.3 3.3 3.5 4.1 3.8 4.1 4.2 4.5 Transp wind dir.SW W W SW SW SW W W W SW Transp wind spd.9 12 13 13 12 13 14 14 15 16 Dispersion idx..11 35 54 56 56 64 70 71 76 82 LVORI...........5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2000, then No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 74. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the late evening and overnight. Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 15 mph. Dispersion index....70 decreasing to 6. LVORI...............1 increasing to 6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........51 49 51 50 45 39 Weather cov.....CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).40 10 0 0 0 0 LAL.............3 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............89 87 82 80 78 76 RH..............59 66 77 82 88 94 20 ft wind......SW 7 SW 5 W 3 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 20 ft wind gust.16 13 10 9 8 7 Mix hgt (ft)....3400 1800 800 400 400 400 Transport wind..W 15 W 14 W 10 W 9 SW 9 SW 8 Dispersion idx..70 9 5 4 4 4 LVORI...........1 3 4 4 6 6 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the morning. Showers and thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 0800, then 9-15 strikes until 1400, then 16-25 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 94. Min humidity........58 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon. Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 12 mph. Dispersion index....8 increasing to 25 late in the morning, then increasing to 39 late in the morning increasing to 53 late in the morning decreasing to 37. LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........34 40 56 63 Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY Chc of pcpn (%).10 30 30 60 LAL.............1 3 3 4 Temp............76 81 88 91 RH..............97 85 66 59 20 FT wind......S 2G8 SW 2G8 SW 6G13 SW 6G13 Mix hgt (ft)....400 2000 3800 2900 Transport wind..SW 8 SW 9 SW 10 W 12 Dispersion idx..4 25 55 49 LVORI...........8 4 1 1 $$ Forecaster...Heil Requested by...Jessica Vincent Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2416758.0/MLB .DELDT 06/27/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL jessica.e.vincent@usda.gov