Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 270827
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for C-266-001 Maple Grove Continued...USFS
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
427 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
With the lack of a sea breeze today, southwest winds will persist
over the burn site, 5-12 mph. There is a 30% chance of showers
through late morning, then a 50% chance for lightning storms from
around 2PM until early evening. Erratic, gusty winds up to 40 mph
will occur in the vicinity of storms. Dispersion will be very
good today. Heat precautions should be taken as heat index
readings will likely peak around 102-105 degrees this afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 1-8 strikes until
                    1200, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....11 increasing to 79.
LVORI...............5 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........27  35  43  51  52  53  55  54  52  51
Weather cov.....            SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  20  30  40  50  50  50  50
LAL.............1   1   1   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............79  81  85  86  87  89  89  89  90  92
RH..............92  85  74  72  68  64  61  61  59  55
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.9   12  13  14  16  17  18  17  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 2.3 3.3 3.3 3.5 4.1 3.8 4.1 4.2 4.5
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.9   12  13  13  12  13  14  14  15  16
Dispersion idx..11  35  54  56  56  64  70  71  76  82
LVORI...........5   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2000, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....70 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........51     49     51     50     45     39
Weather cov.....CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).40     10     0      0      0      0
LAL.............3      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............89     87     82     80     78     76
RH..............59     66     77     82     88     94
20 ft wind......SW 7   SW 5   W 3    SW 2   SW 2   SW 2
20 ft wind gust.16     13     10     9      8      7
Mix hgt (ft)....3400   1800   800    400    400    400
Transport wind..W 15   W 14   W 10   W 9    SW 9   SW 8
Dispersion idx..70     9      5      4      4      4
LVORI...........1      3      4      4      6      6

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the morning. Showers
                    and thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0800, then 9-15 strikes until
                    1400, then 16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 25 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 39 late in the morning increasing
                    to 53 late in the morning decreasing to 37.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........34        40        56        63
Weather cov.....          CHANCE    CHANCE    LIKELY
Weather type....NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........          CHANCE    CHANCE    LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).10        30        30        60
LAL.............1         3         3         4
Temp............76        81        88        91
RH..............97        85        66        59
20 FT wind......S 2G8     SW 2G8    SW 6G13   SW 6G13
Mix hgt (ft)....400       2000      3800      2900
Transport wind..SW 8      SW 9      SW 10     W 12
Dispersion idx..4         25        55        49
LVORI...........8         4         1         1

$$
Forecaster...Heil
Requested by...Jessica Vincent
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416758.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jessica.e.vincent@usda.gov