Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
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277 FXUS64 KOUN 150819 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 319 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 319 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Hot and humid conditions continue today. This afternoon, a slowly- moving weak upper short wave trough will extend from eastern SD to the TX panhandle. Residual boundaries from Friday evening storms will be in place to provide a further focus for thunderstorm development. Some storms that form along this general axis will probably move into the northwestern third or so of Oklahoma late afternoon and into the evening. A few severe wind gusts are possible. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through Friday) Issued at 319 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 The weak upper wave and any associated thunderstorms over northern Oklahoma early Sunday will have moved to the northeast of OK by midday. Much of the next week will be dominated by a strong upper ridge across the southern U.S. A long-wave trough over the Great Basin will keep southwesterly flow over the central and northern plains. Above normal temperatures are expected over the southern plains through Tuesday when a front approaches northern Oklahoma. This will bring another chance for showers/thunderstorms likely continuing into mid-week as the front dissipates over Oklahoma. Low storm chances continue into late week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1126 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 The showers and thunderstorms across the Oklahoma and Texas panhandles are expected to decrease as they move east toward western Oklahoma and into an area with weaker instability, therefore the probability of these moving into KWWR is low enough that we will not include showers or storms in the TAF early Saturday morning, but there is still at least a low chance that they may affect areas around KWWR. There is a 30 percent chance of showers/storms affecting KWWR around and after sunset Saturday evening and have included a PROB30 group for that. Otherwise no significant aviation concerns are expected. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 93 74 92 74 / 10 10 0 0 Hobart OK 95 72 95 73 / 20 20 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 93 74 94 75 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 94 69 97 71 / 30 30 0 10 Ponca City OK 95 73 94 73 / 0 20 0 0 Durant OK 93 73 94 73 / 0 0 0 0 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...09 LONG TERM....09 AVIATION...26