668
FXUS62 KTBW 180007
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
807 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 757 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024

A fairly quiet late afternoon and early evening across our CWA
after a very active morning. This trend should continue overnight
and into the early morning, at least for most of the area. Another
round of storms is possible as a boundary slowly slides over the
state. There is lots of uncertainty with the timing of the showers
and storms, as well as how far south will the activity make. At
this time, the highest chances should be along the northern
portions of the Nature Coast and interior locations of the
Peninsula. However, a shower or two can`t be ruled out for areas
along the I-4 corridor and north. In addition, breezy south to
southwest winds are anticipated, which may help very hot afternoon
highs feel a little bit less miserable as dewpoints remain in the
70s.

Otherwise, no changes were made to the forecast as it remains on
track.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 729 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024

VFR conditions should prevail through most of the period across
terminals. However, there is a non-zero chance for MFVR ceilings
that could develop during the early morning hours due to the
potential for patchy fog. If this materializes, it should
dissipate after sunrise. Southerly winds are expected to gradually
become breezy into the afternoon hours and shifting from the
southwest. Wind speeds decrease towards the end of the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  79  92  78  87 /   0  20  50  80
FMY  78  94  78  91 /   0  10  30  70
GIF  75  96  75  88 /  10  30  40  80
SRQ  77  93  76  89 /   0  10  40  70
BKV  72  93  72  86 /   0  30  50  80
SPG  81  89  79  86 /   0  20  50  70

&&


.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-
     Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Delerme
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...ADavis