228
FXUS63 KPAH 191704
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1204 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warmer temperatures return late this week continuing into
  next week. Highs will rise into the mid to upper 90`s by late
  this week and into early next week.

- Sunday into early next week offer increasing chances for
  showers and storms.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1202 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Updated aviation discussion for 18z TAFs.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 321 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024

An upper lvl ridge centered from the southern Appalachians
through the Northeast will begin to retrograde west this week
bringing dry weather and warmer temperatures. Temperatures will warm
into the upper 80`s to lower 90`s today and into the low to mid
90`s by Thursday and Friday. Heat indices will gradually
increase through the week from the 90`s today and Thursday to
approaching 100 degrees by Friday.

The weekend period features strong ridging aloft beginning to
break down by Sunday as an upper level disturbance approaches
from the northwest. Highs will reach the mid to upper 90`s this
weekend. Dewpoints will begin to increase as well associated
with southwesterly flow. This will bring heat indices to near or
just above 100 degrees. We will need to continue to monitor for
a heat advisory given the stretch of days with elevated heat
indices. Chances for showers and storms increase Sunday
associated with a boundary. While the increased clouds and rain
may keep temperatures a few degrees cooler, humidity will be
higher. Mid to upper 90`s continue into early next week with
heat indices near or above 100 degrees. A few disturbances
passing through the region next week will offer chances for
shower and storms.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1202 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024

VFR conditions prevail across all terminals with just some mid
to high level clouds. SE winds around 5-7 kts turn light &
variable tonight as a ridge of high pressure builds in.
Tranquil weather continue into Thursday morning with light SE
winds around 3-4 kts.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...Air Quality Alert from midnight CDT /1 AM EDT/ tonight to
     midnight CDT /1 AM EDT/ Thursday night for INZ081-082-
     085>088.
KY...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...DW
DISCUSSION...AD
AVIATION...DW