Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
509
UXUS97 KPUB 291203
SRGPUB
Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Pueblo, Colorado
0603 MDT Saturday, June 29, 2024
This forecast is for Villa Grove, CO for Saturday, June 29, 2024:
If the trigger temperature of 67.1 F/19.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1170 ft/min (5.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 21314 ft MSL (12321 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 81.0 F/27.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0830 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 19320 ft MSL (10327 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 06/30....... Excellent
Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:43:24 / 20:31:04 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 47 min 39 sec (887 min 39 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:07:14 MDT... 74.82 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/29/2024 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15679 ft MSL (6686 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15752 ft MSL (6759 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 18688 ft MSL (9695 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.0
K index......................... +24.4
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.5 -84.1 275 51 26 3.0 1.6 M M M M M
45000 -58.6 -73.5 270 60 31 5.5 3.0 M M M M M
40000 -49.8 -57.6 260 61 31 7.7 4.2 M M M M M
38000 -45.1 -49.2 260 56 29 7.7 4.2 M M M M M
36000 -40.5 -40.9 260 52 27 7.5 4.1 M M M M M
34000 -35.9 -32.6 260 36 19 6.8 3.7 M M M M M
32000 -31.8 -25.2 255 22 11 7.6 4.1 M M M M M
30000 -27.1 -16.8 250 19 10 7.8 4.3 37.4 99.3 8.0 M M
29000 -24.8 -12.6 250 17 9 7.8 4.3 36.7 98.1 7.6 M M
28000 -22.5 -8.5 250 16 8 7.1 3.9 36.0 96.8 7.1 M M
27000 -20.3 -4.5 250 16 8 7.2 3.9 35.0 94.9 6.3 M M
26000 -18.2 -0.8 250 16 8 7.2 3.9 34.0 93.3 5.6 M M
25000 -16.0 3.2 250 16 8 6.6 3.6 33.2 91.8 5.0 M M
24000 -14.4 6.1 250 18 9 5.5 3.0 31.6 89.0 3.7 M M
23000 -12.8 9.0 250 19 10 5.5 3.0 30.1 86.3 2.4 M M
22000 -11.2 11.8 250 21 11 5.4 2.9 28.8 83.8 1.2 M M
21000 -9.7 14.5 245 19 10 5.1 2.8 27.1 80.8 -0.4 1153 5.9
20000 -8.3 17.1 245 16 8 5.3 2.9 25.5 78.0 -1.9 1080 5.5
19500 -7.6 18.3 240 15 8 5.2 2.9 24.8 76.7 -2.6 1044 5.3
19000 -6.7 19.9 240 14 7 7.1 3.9 24.3 75.7 -3.2 1003 5.1
18500 -5.7 21.7 240 14 7 7.0 3.8 23.8 74.8 -3.7 959 4.9
18000 -4.7 23.5 240 13 7 6.9 3.8 23.3 74.0 -4.2 914 4.6
17500 -3.3 26.1 235 13 7 6.8 3.7 22.6 72.6 -5.0 849 4.3
17000 -2.3 27.9 225 13 7 6.7 3.7 22.1 71.8 -5.5 805 4.1
16500 -1.4 29.5 220 13 7 6.7 3.7 21.6 70.9 -6.1 762 3.9
16000 -0.5 31.1 215 12 6 6.9 3.8 21.1 70.0 -6.7 719 3.7
15500 0.7 33.3 215 12 6 9.5 5.2 20.9 69.6 -6.9 668 3.4
15000 2.1 35.8 215 11 6 9.2 5.0 20.8 69.5 -7.1 612 3.1
14500 3.5 38.3 210 10 5 9.9 5.4 20.8 69.5 -7.1 554 2.8
14000 5.0 41.0 210 9 5 9.5 5.2 20.8 69.4 -7.2 497 2.5
13500 6.4 43.5 210 8 4 10.5 5.7 20.8 69.4 -7.3 439 2.2
13000 7.7 45.9 200 8 4 7.7 4.2 20.7 69.2 -7.4 384 2.0
12500 8.9 48.0 190 7 4 7.6 4.2 20.4 68.7 -7.8 335 1.7
12000 10.0 50.0 165 8 4 6.7 3.7 20.0 68.1 -8.2 287 1.5
11750 10.4 50.7 160 8 4 5.6 3.1 19.7 67.5 -8.5 266 1.4
11500 10.9 51.6 150 9 5 6.0 3.3 19.4 67.0 -8.8 246 1.2
11250 11.3 52.3 145 9 5 6.2 3.4 19.2 66.5 -9.1 225 1.1
11000 11.8 53.2 135 10 5 6.2 3.4 18.9 66.0 -9.4 203 1.0
10750 12.3 54.1 130 10 5 6.3 3.5 18.6 65.5 -9.7 182 0.9
10500 12.7 54.9 125 10 5 5.1 2.8 18.3 65.0 -10.0 162 0.8
10250 13.0 55.4 120 10 5 4.0 2.2 17.9 64.3 -10.4 145 0.7
10000 13.3 55.9 115 9 5 3.2 1.8 17.5 63.4 -10.9 129 0.7
9750 13.6 56.5 105 9 4 6.4 3.5 17.0 62.7 -11.4 113 0.6
9500 14.0 57.2 095 8 4 -1.0 -0.6 16.7 62.1 -11.7 93 0.5
9250 13.0 55.4 075 4 2 -23.5 -12.9 15.0 59.1 -13.4 115 0.6
9000 11.8 53.2 360 3 2 11.3 6.2 13.1 55.6 -15.4 143 0.7
8750 M M M M M M M M M M M M
8500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
8250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
8000 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/29/2024 at 0900 MDT | 06/29/2024 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +53.6 LI... -2.0 | CAPE... +445.7 LI... -2.8
CINH... -37.7 K Index... +25.5 | CINH... -1.7 K Index... +20.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.8 -84.6 280 46 24 2.6 1.4 | -64.6 -84.3 285 38 20 2.7 1.5
45000 -59.2 -74.6 275 55 28 5.8 3.2 | -58.4 -73.1 275 47 24 5.7 3.1
40000 -49.5 -57.1 260 56 29 7.8 4.3 | -49.3 -56.7 260 51 26 7.6 4.2
38000 -44.8 -48.6 260 55 28 7.8 4.3 | -44.8 -48.6 260 51 26 7.6 4.2
36000 -40.1 -40.2 260 53 27 7.2 4.0 | -40.2 -40.4 255 50 26 7.6 4.2
34000 -36.0 -32.8 250 44 22 6.9 3.8 | -35.7 -32.3 255 48 24 7.5 4.1
32000 -31.8 -25.2 245 35 18 7.0 3.9 | -31.1 -24.0 255 45 23 7.5 4.1
30000 -27.4 -17.3 240 29 15 7.4 4.0 | -26.6 -15.9 250 36 19 6.6 3.6
29000 -25.2 -13.4 240 26 14 7.4 4.0 | -24.7 -12.5 245 32 17 6.6 3.6
28000 -22.5 -8.5 240 23 12 6.8 3.7 | -22.7 -8.9 245 29 15 6.3 3.4
27000 -20.5 -4.9 245 22 11 6.8 3.7 | -20.8 -5.4 245 26 13 6.3 3.5
26000 -18.5 -1.3 245 20 10 6.8 3.7 | -19.0 -2.2 245 23 12 6.3 3.5
25000 -16.4 2.5 245 19 10 6.9 3.8 | -17.1 1.2 240 21 11 6.4 3.5
24000 -14.3 6.3 250 20 10 7.0 3.8 | -15.2 4.6 240 21 11 6.4 3.5
23000 -12.3 9.9 250 21 11 7.0 3.8 | -13.3 8.1 240 20 10 6.4 3.5
22000 -10.3 13.5 255 21 11 4.7 2.6 | -11.4 11.5 240 20 10 6.2 3.4
21000 -9.2 15.4 245 18 9 4.1 2.3 | -9.6 14.7 240 20 10 6.2 3.4
20000 -8.1 17.4 235 16 8 4.7 2.6 | -7.8 18.0 240 19 10 6.3 3.5
19500 -7.5 18.5 230 15 8 5.5 3.0 | -6.9 19.6 240 19 10 6.5 3.6
19000 -6.6 20.1 225 15 8 7.5 4.1 | -5.9 21.4 235 19 10 6.9 3.8
18500 -5.5 22.1 220 14 7 7.4 4.1 | -4.9 23.2 235 19 10 6.9 3.8
18000 -4.5 23.9 220 14 7 7.3 4.0 | -3.9 25.0 230 19 10 7.7 4.2
17500 -3.4 25.9 215 14 7 7.2 4.0 | -2.8 27.0 230 19 10 7.9 4.4
17000 -2.4 27.7 215 13 7 7.1 3.9 | -1.7 28.9 225 18 10 7.9 4.3
16500 -1.5 29.3 210 13 7 6.5 3.6 | -0.6 30.9 220 18 9 7.5 4.1
16000 -0.5 31.1 205 12 6 6.4 3.5 | 0.4 32.7 220 17 9 7.6 4.1
15500 0.5 32.9 200 12 6 8.8 4.8 | 1.5 34.7 215 16 8 8.4 4.6
15000 1.8 35.2 195 11 6 8.9 4.9 | 3.2 37.8 200 14 7 8.3 4.6
14500 3.7 38.7 190 9 5 8.7 4.8 | 4.4 39.9 190 13 7 9.1 5.0
14000 5.0 41.0 185 8 4 9.2 5.1 | 5.8 42.4 185 12 6 9.4 5.2
13500 6.4 43.5 180 8 4 9.2 5.1 | 7.3 45.1 180 11 6 11.0 6.0
13000 7.5 45.5 175 9 5 7.2 4.0 | 8.7 47.7 175 10 5 8.2 4.5
12500 8.7 47.7 170 9 5 7.7 4.2 | 10.0 50.0 165 10 5 10.2 5.6
12000 9.8 49.6 165 9 4 7.2 3.9 | 11.6 52.9 155 9 5 9.8 5.4
11750 10.3 50.5 165 9 4 6.4 3.5 | 12.2 54.0 150 9 5 9.1 5.0
11500 10.8 51.4 160 9 4 6.5 3.6 | 12.9 55.2 145 9 5 9.7 5.3
11250 11.3 52.3 155 8 4 6.3 3.5 | 13.7 56.7 140 9 4 9.9 5.4
11000 11.7 53.1 150 8 4 6.4 3.5 | 14.4 57.9 135 9 4 9.8 5.4
10750 12.2 54.0 145 7 4 6.0 3.3 | 15.1 59.2 135 9 4 10.1 5.6
10500 12.7 54.9 140 7 3 7.6 4.2 | 15.9 60.6 130 9 4 10.7 5.9
10250 13.3 55.9 130 6 3 9.1 5.0 | 16.7 62.1 130 9 4 10.8 5.9
10000 13.9 57.0 120 5 2 9.0 4.9 | 17.5 63.5 125 8 4 11.2 6.1
9750 14.6 58.3 110 4 2 8.1 4.5 | 18.3 64.9 125 8 4 9.5 5.2
9500 15.3 59.5 095 4 2 13.0 7.1 | 19.2 66.6 125 8 4 16.7 9.2
9250 16.6 61.9 090 4 2 24.0 13.2 | 21.0 69.8 120 8 4 33.7 18.5
9000 18.0 64.4 090 4 2 3.7 2.0 | 22.9 73.2 120 8 4 2.2 1.2
8750 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8000 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
06/29/2024 at 1500 MDT | 06/29/2024 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +658.1 LI... -3.3 | CAPE... +946.1 LI... -3.9
CINH... -1.9 K Index... +25.3 | CINH... -2.2 K Index... +26.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.0 -85.0 275 32 16 3.6 2.0 | -64.8 -84.6 260 29 15 4.5 2.5
45000 -57.9 -72.2 270 39 20 5.9 3.2 | -57.6 -71.7 260 36 19 5.2 2.8
40000 -48.7 -55.7 260 46 24 7.0 3.8 | -49.0 -56.2 260 43 22 7.8 4.3
38000 -44.5 -48.1 260 55 28 7.0 3.8 | -44.3 -47.7 255 45 23 7.8 4.3
36000 -40.2 -40.4 255 63 32 7.6 4.2 | -39.7 -39.5 250 47 24 7.4 4.1
34000 -35.5 -31.9 255 54 28 7.9 4.3 | -34.8 -30.6 255 41 21 7.3 4.0
32000 -30.2 -22.4 255 45 23 7.9 4.3 | -30.4 -22.7 265 36 19 8.8 4.8
30000 -25.9 -14.6 250 43 22 7.1 3.9 | -25.3 -13.5 265 34 17 8.4 4.6
29000 -23.7 -10.7 245 42 21 7.1 3.9 | -22.8 -9.0 265 32 17 8.3 4.6
28000 -21.8 -7.2 245 39 20 5.2 2.9 | -20.6 -5.1 265 31 16 6.3 3.5
27000 -20.2 -4.4 245 35 18 5.3 2.9 | -18.7 -1.7 260 32 16 6.4 3.5
26000 -18.6 -1.5 245 30 15 5.3 2.9 | -16.8 1.8 260 32 16 6.4 3.5
25000 -17.0 1.4 240 26 13 6.4 3.5 | -14.9 5.2 255 32 16 5.5 3.0
24000 -15.0 5.0 240 24 13 6.8 3.7 | -13.4 7.9 250 31 16 5.3 2.9
23000 -13.1 8.4 240 23 12 6.9 3.8 | -11.8 10.8 245 31 16 5.3 2.9
22000 -11.1 12.0 235 21 11 6.7 3.7 | -10.2 13.6 240 31 16 6.1 3.4
21000 -9.1 15.6 235 20 10 6.7 3.7 | -8.3 17.1 235 32 16 6.5 3.6
20000 -7.2 19.0 240 19 10 6.7 3.7 | -6.5 20.3 235 32 17 6.7 3.7
19500 -6.2 20.8 240 18 9 6.9 3.8 | -5.6 21.9 230 32 17 6.8 3.7
19000 -5.2 22.6 235 18 9 7.4 4.0 | -4.7 23.5 230 32 16 6.7 3.7
18500 -4.1 24.6 235 18 9 7.4 4.0 | -3.8 25.2 230 31 16 6.8 3.7
18000 -3.0 26.6 230 18 9 7.6 4.2 | -2.8 27.0 225 30 16 6.2 3.4
17500 -1.9 28.6 220 18 9 7.6 4.2 | -2.0 28.4 220 28 14 6.1 3.4
17000 -0.8 30.6 215 18 10 7.8 4.3 | -1.2 29.8 215 26 13 6.4 3.5
16500 0.3 32.5 205 18 9 8.5 4.7 | -0.1 31.8 215 23 12 7.5 4.1
16000 1.5 34.7 200 17 9 8.5 4.7 | 1.4 34.5 210 20 10 7.8 4.3
15500 3.4 38.1 195 16 8 9.4 5.1 | 2.6 36.7 210 17 9 8.3 4.6
15000 4.7 40.5 190 15 8 9.1 5.0 | 3.8 38.8 210 15 8 8.3 4.6
14500 6.0 42.8 185 14 7 9.2 5.1 | 4.9 40.8 210 12 6 7.7 4.2
14000 7.4 45.3 180 13 7 9.9 5.4 | 6.0 42.8 210 9 5 7.8 4.3
13500 8.8 47.8 175 13 7 9.5 5.2 | 7.1 44.8 210 6 3 7.7 4.2
13000 10.2 50.4 165 12 6 9.0 4.9 | 8.0 46.4 200 3 1 6.0 3.3
12500 11.5 52.7 155 11 6 8.7 4.8 | 8.9 48.0 060 1 1 6.0 3.3
12000 12.8 55.0 135 11 6 9.6 5.3 | 9.7 49.5 045 4 2 5.6 3.1
11750 13.5 56.3 130 12 6 10.4 5.7 | 10.1 50.2 040 6 3 5.1 2.8
11500 14.2 57.6 125 12 6 9.7 5.3 | 10.5 50.9 035 7 4 6.4 3.5
11250 15.0 59.0 120 12 6 9.4 5.1 | 11.0 51.8 035 8 4 7.1 3.9
11000 15.7 60.3 115 12 6 9.4 5.2 | 11.5 52.7 030 10 5 6.8 3.7
10750 16.4 61.5 115 12 6 10.4 5.7 | 12.0 53.6 030 11 5 7.8 4.3
10500 17.2 63.0 110 12 6 11.0 6.1 | 12.6 54.7 025 11 6 9.9 5.4
10250 18.0 64.4 110 12 6 10.5 5.8 | 13.4 56.1 025 12 6 10.5 5.8
10000 18.8 65.8 110 12 6 11.1 6.1 | 14.1 57.4 025 12 6 10.7 5.9
9750 19.6 67.3 105 12 6 9.3 5.1 | 14.9 58.8 025 12 6 9.2 5.0
9500 20.4 68.7 105 12 6 16.7 9.1 | 15.6 60.1 025 12 6 13.2 7.3
9250 22.3 72.1 105 11 6 34.0 18.6 | 17.0 62.6 020 11 6 24.8 13.6
9000 24.1 75.4 105 10 5 1.8 1.0 | 18.4 65.1 020 10 5 2.9 1.6
8750 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8000 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC). It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near Villa Grove, Colorado at:
North Latitude: 38 deg 16 min 03 sec
West Longitude: 105 deg 53 min 37 sec
Elevation: 7986 feet (2434 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page. To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613