Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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394
FXUS64 KSJT 250757
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
257 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 223 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Hot and dry is the name of the game for west central Texas...with
upper level ridging firmly in control over the southwestern U.S.
It will be mild tonight, with temperatures only dropping into the
mid to upper 70s. Rinse and repeat for Tuesday afternoon, with
temperatures ticking a couple of degrees warmer than today. Highs
will be in the 98-103 range, with the highest readings across the
Concho Valley and Big Country. The main issue will be feels like
temperatures especially across portions of the Big Country where
heat index values may reach or exceed 105 degrees. Will hold off
on a heat advisory with this forecast package given the
uncertainty with how high dewpoints will be. But will continue to
monitor dewpoint trends and issue an advisory with the next
forecast package if heat index values continue to trend up.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 243 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Hot and dry conditions will continue as a strong upper ridge
persists over the region. Highs in the 99 to 104 range into
Friday may decrease a degree or two this week, as the upper ridge
slightly weakens. But this will be temporary, as the upper ridge
builds back in next week. Heat indices may flirt with heat
advisory criteria of 105 Wednesday into Friday, particularly in
the Big Country. Will continue to monitor for possible advisory.


&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

In general, VFR conditions will prevail across area terminals
through Tuesday evening. Some brief MVFR cigs developed on Monday
morning across the southern terminals and may see a repeat around
sunrise this morning at KJCT and KSOA, but anything that develops
should remain limited. Otherwise, south to southeast winds will
prevail and will continue to be gusty at times during daylight
hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     99  79 101  79 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo 101  78 103  78 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    97  76  99  76 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   97  77  99  77 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater 100  79 101  79 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       96  76  98  74 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       96  76  97  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...07