Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
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798 FXUS61 KILN 301812 AFDILN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 212 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure and a cooler, drier airmass will remain in place across the region through Monday. Heat and humidity will return by midweek, along with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/... Few to sct cu across the area this afternoon will dissipate toward sunset. Mostly clear skies are then expected overnight as surface high pressure builds southeast into the region. Lows tonight will be mostly in the low to mid 50s with even some upper 40s possible in outlying areas. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... Surface high pressure will shift slowly east across the lower Great Lakes and upper Ohio Valley Monday into Monday night. This will lead to continued mostly clear skies and seasonably cool conditions. Highs on Monday will be in the mid to upper 70s with lows Monday night in the 50s. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Dry weather is forecast for Monday night and Tuesday as high pressure settles across the Great Lakes. A slow moving boundary will bring the threat for showers and thunderstorms for the remainder of the period from Wednesday through Saturday. Greatest threat for widespread storms appears to be on Thursday when a large swath of deep moisture and short wave energy interacts with an unstable airmass. Too early to pinpoint timing and location for severe weather but it is likely that some strong to severe storms will occur with this humid and unstable weather regime. Temperatures look close to normal to start the period, with highs Tuesday in the mid and upper 80s. Warm advection ahead of the boundary will boost highs into the 90s on Wednesday, with apparent temps around 100. Clouds and precip may limit highs to the 80s for Thursday through Saturday. && .AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Scattered cu across the area will dissipate this evening with mostly clear skies expected through the remainder of the TAF period as surface high pressure moves into the region. VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms possible Wednesday through Friday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...JGL NEAR TERM...JGL SHORT TERM...JGL LONG TERM...Campbell AVIATION...JGL