![National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration](/build/images/header/noaa.d87e0251.png)
![National Weather Service](/build/images/header/nws.4e6585d8.png)
![United States Department of Commerce](/build/images/header/doc.b38ba91a.png)
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
081 FXUS64 KOUN 281719 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 1219 PM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 244 AM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024 Showers and occasional thunderstorms will linger for the next several hours across northern Oklahoma but are expected to gradually dissipate and/or move east of our area toward sunrise. The main story for today will continue to be the potentially dangerous heat, with air temperatures near or over 100 degrees and heat indices of 105-115 expected. Storms will once again be possible across far northern Oklahoma this evening and overnight as a cold front approaches the area, but the bulk of the activity is expected to be to our north. The stronger storms will be capable of large hail and damaging wind gusts. Ware && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Thursday) Issued at 244 AM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024 Hot temperatures will continue into the weekend but the aforementioned cold front could bring with it increased rain chances and cloudiness across at least the northern third to half of Oklahoma, along with a (brief) reprieve from the oppressive heat. Shower and storm chances appear highest Saturday evening and overnight along the front for these areas, but could linger into the day on Sunday. Temperatures on Sunday will be lower north of the boundary, but high humidity will keep heat indices near 90-100 degrees. Heat indices to the south of the front will be hotter, but not as hot as they have been, near 105 degrees. The center of the mid-upper ridge will begin to translate eastward on Monday, with the front retreating quickly north of our area. This will lead to a return of very hot temperatures to the region Monday. The ridge will begin to position itself even further eastward by Tuesday and Wednesday, which could open the door to another cold front and rain chances toward the middle of next week. Ensemble guidance then suggests we could see a bit of a pattern shift toward the end of next week, with higher heights across the western US and more troughing across the central and eastern US. This could allow for slightly cooler temperatures and additional rain chances during this period. Ware && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1214 PM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024 Scattered mid/high-level clouds are expected throughout the period. Very low storm chances exist for KWWR late afternoonand into the evening. LLWS will be a concern for most TAF sites late tonight into Saturday morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 81 99 76 91 / 10 20 40 40 Hobart OK 80 101 77 95 / 10 10 40 30 Wichita Falls TX 80 101 79 99 / 0 0 10 10 Gage OK 74 97 69 90 / 30 20 60 30 Ponca City OK 80 98 70 87 / 20 30 60 30 Durant OK 78 98 78 96 / 0 0 10 20 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for OKZ004>007-009>012- 014>018-021>024-027-033>038-044. Excessive Heat Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for OKZ008- 013-019-020-025-026-028>032-039>043-045>048-050>052. TX...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for TXZ083>090. && $$ SHORT TERM...08 LONG TERM....08 AVIATION...01