Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT

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Spot Forecast for American Bar Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
600 AM MDT Tue Sep 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MDT on September 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure builds in today for well above normal temperatures,
light breezes, and dry conditions. Overnight recovery will be
moderate tonight followed by a breezy, hot day on Wednesday with
critically low afternoon humidity.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....80-85.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth early in the morning.

TIME (MDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   5   2   6   2   2   3   9   20  19  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............47  50  54  61  66  69  73  77  80  81  82
RH..............84  81  69  58  49  43  39  35  32  30  30
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 4.0 3.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  15  15  15  10  10  15  10
Haines index....M   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....49-54.
Max humidity........55-65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.


TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........8   15  21  8   6   12  4   7   4   7   8   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............80  77  73  67  65  63  60  59  57  57  55  54
RH..............31  36  40  45  50  52  56  58  62  64  64  64
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.15  15  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Haines index....3   3   3   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....86-91.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds around 10 to 15 mph becoming
                    southwest with gusts up to around 25 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest
                    and increasing 20 to 25 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   6   5   1   3   3   3   3   3   8   8   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............53  51  54  59  67  72  79  84  86  88  88  88
RH..............66  67  63  54  42  36  30  25  21  19  18  18
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.5 3.5 6.0 8.5 9.5 7.5 4.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  15  10  15  15  15  15  20  25  25  25  25
Haines index....M   M   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Greely
Requested by...Will Menning
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2422941.0/TFX
.DELDT 09/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL william.menning@usda.gov, tfx.ops@nooa.gov