006
FNUS53 KAPX 271937
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
337 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

...Breezy South Winds and Rain Friday into Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure overhead today will drift out Friday. Winds become
southerly and strengthen to 10-15mph, gusting 15-25mph Friday. Lowest
afternoon RHs 40-45 percent near Atlanta/Mio. Highs near 80 in south-
flow downslope areas (e.g. Traverse City). Rain moves in during the
afternoon/evening with embedded thunderstorms. Better chance of
storms early Saturday into Saturday afternoon...particularly closer
to Lake Huron ahead of a cold front. Additional showers behind the
front Saturday...with winds turning west/northwest at 10-20mph
(stronger winds in thunderstorms).

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-280815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
337 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........78-83 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the south around
                    9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 49-54 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 8 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (622).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2400, then showers likely.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (136).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.28 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Showers likely
                    until 1200Chance of showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......29 percent wetter...except 20 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (397).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.15 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-280815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
337 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........78-83 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (657).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (99).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.16 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (404).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.19 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-280815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
337 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........75-80 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 51-56 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (593).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers until
                    2400Showers likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter...except 22 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (120).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.28 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms until 1200, then
                    chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (427).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.12 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-280815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
337 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........78-83 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 61-66 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (660).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2400, then showers likely.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (107).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 3 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (486).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.13 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-280815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
337 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........76-81 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the south around
                    9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (683).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (96).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.16 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....78-83.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (547).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.12 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FEF