Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
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121 FXUS64 KEWX 140632 AFDEWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 132 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Saturday) Issued at 131 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 Upper level ridging builds in from the west today with this feature remaining over the area through Saturday. Dry weather is expected with some areas of low cloud cover each morning becoming more scattered during the afternoons. Afternoon highs today and Saturday are generally in the 90s everywhere except along the Rio Grande and over the Rio Grande Plains where triple digit temperatures are forecast. Afternoon dewpoints fall into the upper 50s and 60s each day which should keep heat indices below Heat Advisory criteria. Overall, quiet and warm in the short term period. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 131 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 The Subtropical Ridge centers over the Southeastern States on Sunday and remains there early next week. A plume of tropical moisture approaches the Texas coast on Sunday allowing for a few showers and thunderstorms near the Coastal Plains Sunday afternoon. The plume works its way farther inland early next week with showers and thunderstorms spreading to the I-35 corridor by Tuesday. The Ridge then builds back over Texas mid to late week forcing the plume toward the west with showers and thunderstorms spreading to the Rio Grande on Wednesday and Thursday. Models continue to show potential for development of a tropical system with NHC indicating a 40% chance in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Models maintain consensus on a westward movement into and across Mexico. This would allow for some enhancement in rainfall especially over the Coastal Plains to the southern Rio Grande Plains. Although, direct wind impacts are currently expected to be well south of our area, gusty winds are possible in the stronger storms. Above normal high temperatures on Sunday will gradually fall to below normal by mid week due to the clouds and rain. Beyond, this forecast period, models are showing the potential for another tropical system for the following weekend. Stay tuned to the latest forecasts on these potential systems. Be prepared for a busy tropical season. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1152 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 There is a slight chance for MVFR ceilings around 11-15Z at SAT, otherwise VFR conditions continue for the period. Wind will be mainly southeasterly below 10 knots. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 97 74 97 75 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 95 73 96 73 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 98 73 97 75 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 94 72 94 73 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 103 81 103 79 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 94 72 94 72 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 97 74 96 75 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 96 72 96 73 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 95 73 94 73 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 97 75 97 76 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 98 75 98 76 / 0 0 0 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ Short-Term...27 Long-Term...04 Aviation...27