082
FXUS64 KSHV 240520
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1220 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 915 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024

A few scattered clouds continue to drift south from Southern
Arkansas and into extreme Northern Louisiana. These clouds are
associated with a weak disturbance aloft and a cold front in
Northern Arkansas, which will remain north of the region. Some of
these clouds should drift farther south into Northwest and
Northeast Louisiana tonight, but most locations should remain
mostly clear. Temperatures have generally cooled on schedule so
far this evening. Overall, the forecast appears on track and no
updates appear necessary.

CN

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday Night)
Issued at 128 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024

Stacked surface and upper-level ridge across the region has
maintained light and variable winds this afternoon with
temperatures currently in the lower 90s. Low-level moisture,
characterized by dewpoint in the lower 70s, has allowed for
scattered cu to develop within the boundary layer this afternoon.
Subsidence from the upper-ridge aloft will suppress cloud growth
through the afternoon, maintaining a dry forecast tonight and into
Monday and Monday night. The combination of heat and humidity
will lead to afternoon heat index values approaching 105 degrees
through the short-term period with the ongoing Heat Advisory to
remain in place for the next several days. /05/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 128 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024

Upper-level ridge to remain parked across the region through the
entire long-term period driving afternoon high temperatures into
the mid to upper 90s each day prompting the possibility of Heat
Advisories to continue into next weekend. The only relief from the
heat will be the possibility for scattered convection on mainly
Wednesday and Thursday afternoons as a trough axis swings
southeast across the mid-Mississippi Valley. Otherwise, overnight
lows each night forecast to average in the mid to upper 70s. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

While VFR conditions are anticipated for this entire TAF period,
there is a chance at some MVFR VIS at KLFK later this morning.
However, confidence was not high enough to introduce it at this
time.

/44/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  99  80 100  80 /  10   0  10  10
MLU  97  77  98  77 /  10   0  10  10
DEQ  98  75  97  74 /   0   0  10  10
TXK 100  79  99  78 /  10   0  10  10
ELD  98  76  98  76 /  10   0  10  10
TYR  97  78  98  78 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  98  77  98  77 /  10   0   0   0
LFK  98  75  98  76 /  10   0  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Tuesday for ARZ050-051-059>061-
     070>073.

LA...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Tuesday for LAZ001>006-010>014-
     017>022.

OK...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Tuesday for OKZ077.

TX...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Tuesday for TXZ096-097-108>112-
     124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...09
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...44