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286
FXUS64 KHGX 250849
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
349 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
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(Today through Thursday Night)
Issued at 219 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

A secondary cold front will move through SE Texas later this
afternoon, and will move offshore early Thursday morning.
Temperatures today will reach into the 80s to low 90s. Dew points
behind the front are forecast to drop into the 50s to low 60s with
lows tonight in the 60s inland and in the low 70s around the metro
and along the coast. NW winds will continue to pull in cooler air
Thursday into Thursday night with highs on Thursday reaching into
the low to mid 80s area wide. Lows for Thursday will be a few
degrees cooler than tonight`s lows with most of the area in the 60s.
A few locations in the Piney Woods and Brazos Valley could see
temperatures dip into the upper 50s.

As far as precipitation is concerned, there is still plenty of
moisture to work with as PW values sit in the 1.6-2.0" range ahead
of the next front. As this boundary interacts with the moisture it
will result in isolated to scattered showers developing along and
ahead of the front. Activity will start out in the NW corner of the
CWA this morning and push towards the coast through the duration of
the day. While most of the activity should taper off tonight, some
lingering showers will be possible into Thursday morning. There is a
Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms for a line along and south of
Columbus to Huntsville to Seven Oaks. The main hazards with storms
will be the potential for damaging winds.

Adams
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&&

.LONG TERM...
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(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 219 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

Mostly sunny days and mostly clear to clear nights can be expected
through a majority of this period. We could see some wrap around
clouds across parts of the area at the end of the week and possibly
into the weekend in association with the cuttoff low centered off to
our northeast. This low`s edging into our area gets replaced with a
building mid/upper level ridge heading on into next week resulting
in a gradual warming trend. Look for a gradual warming trend through
this period (for highs...starting with a mid 80s to low 90s range on
Friday rising into an upper 80s to mid 90s range by Tuesday; for
lows....starting with a low to mid 60s range inland to the low 70s
coast on Friday night rising into a mid 60s to lower 70s range
inland to mid 70s coast on Tuesday night).  42
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&&

.AVIATION...
(03Z TAF Amendment)
Issued at 1051 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

Showers to the west of the Houston metro terminals continue to
diminish as of the time of writing (04Z). Light winds will prevail
overnight, with conditions remaining mostly within VFR thresholds.
A brief period of MVFR cigs and/or patchy fog may occur before
sunrise. Tomorrow, a more robust frontal boundary will traverse
the area, resulting in a shift to NE and later N winds along with
scattered showers. A few isolated thunderstorms can`t be ruled
out, but confidence remains low enough to exclude TS wording from
this TAF package. Broken cigs around 3000-5000ft prevail behind
the front with a gradual clearing expected overnight into Thursday
morning.

Cady

&&

.MARINE...
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Issued at 219 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

A cold front and associated showers and thunderstorms will push off
the coast and through the coastal waters tonight. Light onshore winds
ahead of the front will become moderate to occasionally strong north
to northeast winds in the front`s wake. Behind the front, caution flags
will likely be needed, and advisories will be possible for the increasing
winds and building seas. Weakening winds and lowering seas can be expected
at the end of the week and over the weekend.
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&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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College Station (CLL)  89  65  86  62 /  20   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)  92  69  87  67 /  50  10   0   0
Galveston (GLS)  88  74  86  72 /  50  30   0   0
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&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Adams
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...Cady
MARINE...42