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032
FXUS65 KREV 251923
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
1223 PM PDT Sat May 25 2024

.SYNOPSIS...

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Temperatures will warm the rest of the Memorial Day weekend with
lighter winds both Sunday and Monday. There remains a 10-20%
chance for a few storms Monday afternoon, but overall it is going
to remain dry. Beyond Memorial Day, another low pressure system
will keep it dry with breezy late day winds returning.
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&&

.DISCUSSION...

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* A flat ridge of high pressure will move over the area Sunday and
  then eastward on Monday. This will allow for temperatures to
  warm back to around 10 degrees above normal by Memorial Day.
  Conditions will remain dry through Sunday. The combination of
  heat, light flow aloft and weak destabilization will lead to a
  10-20% chance of storms along the Sierra mainly south of Lake
  Tahoe Monday. A few of these storms may drift into western NV
  late in the day, perhaps as far north as the Pine Nuts and
  Virginia Range east of Reno, along weak convergence associated
  with the zephyr. Most locations will remain uneventful, but
  remain aware to any storms that develop nearby as they will be
  capable of gusty outflow winds and lightning.

* Winds will remain breezy through early this evening, but then
  decrease the next couple of days. The lightest winds and
  shortest duration of late day winds will be Sunday as the ridge
  axis moves overhead. More typical late day zephyr breezes return
  Monday as temperatures across the warmer valleys in western NV
  heat up further and thermal gradients increase. Still, only
  looking at gusts around 25-30 mph for a few hours.

* The balance of next week looks quiet as another trough brushes
  the region Tuesday night/Wednesday, bringing a dry and stable
  westerly flow aloft. Ensemble clusters keep the coldest air
  north of the region, but 12Z deterministic GFS/ECMWF offer
  slightly deeper solutions which is spelled out in the ensemble
  temperature spreads of 10-15 degrees late week. Look for breezy
  daytime winds along with afternoon temperatures most likely
  fluctuating between 5-10 degrees above normal, but possibly
  cooling back close to normal Wed-Thu if the deeper trough
  scenarios come to pass.

Hohmann
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&&

.AVIATION...

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* Breezy W-NW breezes with gusts 20-30 kts will diminish 02-05Z
  and becoming light overnight. Some light turbulence is possible
  through this evening as FL100 winds 15-25 kts interact with the
  mountainous terrain.

* For Sun/Mon, lighter daytime winds as a flat ridge of high
  pressure brings much warmer temperatures. Winds will be lightest
  Sunday afternoon with gusts 15-20 kts after 22z with a slight
  uptick Monday to 20-25 kts.

* VFR conditions prevailing through Monday. The exception will be
  a 10-20% chance of thunder along the eastern Sierra mostly
  south of Hwy 50.

Hohmann
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&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$