Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
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-- Remove Highlighting --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --371 FXUS64 KSHV 212349 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 649 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Saturday Night) Issued at 255 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 The heat is on through the beginning of the weekend with a warming trend developing across the Four State Region. Surface ridging currently over the Mid-South will continue to gradually shift eastward across the Mississippi River into the Southern Great Plains by tomorrow afternoon, boosting temperature maximums/minimums into the upper 90s/mid-to-upper 70s. Dew points in the upper 60s/lower 70s will maintain outdoor conditions. /16/ && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 255 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 The hottest temperatures of the year are on the way to the Four State Region through early next week. This is due to surface ridging that will continue to slowly settle across the Southern Great Plains, maintaining southerly flow through the middle of the week. Medium-range guidance is trending toward slightly more widespread chances of triple-digit temperatures on Sunday and Monday with probabilities above 20 percent (statistically significant, some areas higher than 30 percent). Heat hazards are likely to be issued as a result. After the middle of next week, this ridge axis will break down further, opening the door for more diurnal convection that`s typical for this time of the year. While remaining well above average, temperature maximums will also retreat from triple-digit territory, but not by much. Minimums in the mid-to-upper 70s will not provide much in the way of heat relief overnight. && .AVIATION...-- Changed Discussion --(00Z TAFS) Issued at 635 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 Widely scattered showers will continue to move northwest across portions of Western Louisiana and Deep East Texas before dissipating early in the period after sunset. A few of these showers could briefly affect KLFK. Strong ridging aloft and at the surface should keep any daytime shower development very low in terms of coverage for Saturday. VFR flight conditions should prevail for the next 24 hours. CN-- End Changed Discussion --&& .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 78 96 78 99 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 73 96 75 98 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 70 93 72 96 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 74 97 76 100 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 72 94 74 98 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 74 94 76 97 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 74 94 75 96 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 74 95 72 97 / 0 0 0 10 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...16 LONG TERM....16 AVIATION...09