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FNAK79 PAFG 271424
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 119 McDonald...Yukon Dispatch Center
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
624 AM AKDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on June 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
AKDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Hot once again today with a min RH around 31% expected and light
winds increasing slightly from the east this afternoon. Scattered
wet thunderstorms are likely near the fire this afternoon and
overnight. These storms may come with hail, heavy rain, frequent
lightning and erratic wind gusts to 50 mph. These will lessen in
coverage after midnight with a lingering shower possible, then
isolated wet thunderstorms will be possible again tomorrow
afternoon. Temperatures will be on a down trend this weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Smoke in the
                    morning, then areas of smoke in the afternoon.
                    Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the
                    morning, then scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................4.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Light and variable winds becoming southeast
                    5 mph after 4 PM this afternoon.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL increasing to 4200 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 4 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM AKDT.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Scattered thunderstorms in
                    the evening. Scattered rain showers through the
                    night. Isolated thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................33 percent.
LAL.................4.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........78-85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 12 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast winds at 5 mph increase and shift
                    to southwest at 12 to 20 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Inversion setup.....1 AM AKDT.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the day. Isolated rain showers in the
                    morning. Scattered rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 12 to 20 mph in the morning
                    will weaken to southwest 5 to 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL increasing to 5200 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Areas of smoke. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Areas of smoke. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Areas of smoke. Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.

$$
Forecaster...BIANCO
Requested by...Casey Lasota
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416117.25/AFG
.DELDT 06/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0