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FNAK79 PAFG 280140
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 119 McDonald...Yukon Dispatch Center
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
540 PM AKDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on June 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

A gust front will move northeast to southwest across the McDonald
fire through around 630 pm this evening, leading to gusts up to
30 mph from the northeast. Scattered wet thunderstorms moving
slowly through the area this evening may come with hail, heavy
rain, frequent lightning, and erratic wind gusts to 50 mph. These
will lessen in coverage after midnight, with a lingering shower
possible. Isolated wet thunderstorms will be possible again Friday
afternoon, most likely arriving from the south. Temperatures will
be slightly cooler on Friday, with higher minimum RH. Heading
into the weekend, expecting a continued gradual cooling and
moistening trend.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Smoke through
                    the night. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
                    in the evening, becoming isolated overnight.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................4.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........77-86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts to 30 mph from the northeast
                    possible through 8 pm. Otherwise, gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 6 mph, becoming southwest
                    around 10 mph after midnight.
Inversion setup.....1 am.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the day. Isolated thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 am.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Isolated thunderstorms in
    the evening.
CWR.................18 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........79-88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph.
Inversion setup.....12 am.

$$
Forecaster...QUESADA
Requested by...Casey Lasota
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416117.26/AFG
.DELDT 06/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0