Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS86 KLOX 211626
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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
926 AM PDT Fri Jun 21 2024

ECC029-221030-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
926 AM PDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...Discussion from Monterey...

A significant warming and drying trend begins today with
temperatures up to the 90s and low 100s in the interior, and
relative humidities as low as 15-30% away from the immediate coast.
Humidity recoveries remain decent in the valleys but become poor in
the higher elevations. Temperatures moderate after Sunday as onshore
flow strengthens.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS INTERIOR TODAY, BECOMING
BRIEF CRITICAL ON SATURDAY DUE TO HOT, DRY, AND LOCALLY BREEZY
CONDITIONS...

...LONG DURATION HEAT AND MODERATELY DRY CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...

...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY FOR
AREAS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION...

Mountain, interior valleys, and deserts will remain dry and  breezy
today but improved from earlier this week. Southwest to northwest
wind gusts will peak between 20 and 35 mph this afternoon and
evening with minimum humidities generally between 10 and 20 percent.
The flow will shift to the southeast and south on Saturday, with
gusts between 20 and 35 mph across the interior.

High pressure will build once again this weekend. Hot and dry
conditions will return with the potential of a long duration event
lasting through most of next week and beyond. High temperatures
between 96 and 107 will be common from the warmest coastal valleys
to the interior areas. Breezy winds from typical diurnal directions
will form each day. Sundowner and I-5 Corridor winds expected will
start again Monday and increase each day through next week, with
gusts reaching 40 to 50 mph by Thursday. Minimum humidities over the
mountains and interior areas between 8 and  15 percent will be
common Saturday. The combination of hot, dry, and locally breezy
conditions will bring elevated fire weather conditions today across
the interior, becoming brief critical on Saturday when there is a
better overlap of gusty winds and very low humidity(especially in
the mountains of Los Angeles and Ventura counties and Antelope
Valley).  With ample dead fuels and dried grasses, the risk for
large grass fires will remain elevated through at least Saturday.
Humidity levels are expected to rise with the incoming tropical
moisture Sunday into Monday.

This moisture, from the remnants of Tropical Storm Alberto, will
bring a 10-20 percent chance of thunderstorms to areas south of
Point Conception Saturday night into Sunday, then falling to less
than 10 percent by Monday. With the lowest levels of the atmosphere
still fairly dry on Saturday night, any thunderstorms that do form
will most likely have limited rainfall which could trigger a fire
ignition and generate gusty downdraft winds. As the atmosphere
moistens on Sunday, there will be a low but present risk for brief
heavy downpours, especially in the mountains.


$$

ECC028-221030-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
926 AM PDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS INTERIOR TODAY, BECOMING
BRIEF CRITICAL ON SATURDAY DUE TO HOT, DRY, AND LOCALLY BREEZY
CONDITIONS...

...LONG DURATION HEAT AND MODERATELY DRY CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...

...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY FOR
AREAS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION...

Mountain, interior valleys, and deserts will remain dry and  breezy
today but improved from earlier this week. Southwest to northwest
wind gusts will peak between 20 and 35 mph this afternoon and
evening with minimum humidities generally between 10 and 20 percent.
The flow will shift to the southeast and south on Saturday, with
gusts between 20 and 35 mph across the interior.

High pressure will build once again this weekend. Hot and dry
conditions will return with the potential of a long duration event
lasting through most of next week and beyond. High temperatures
between 96 and 107 will be common from the warmest coastal valleys
to the interior areas. Breezy winds from typical diurnal directions
will form each day. Sundowner and I-5 Corridor winds expected will
start again Monday and increase each day through next week, with
gusts reaching 40 to 50 mph by Thursday. Minimum humidities over the
mountains and interior areas between 8 and  15 percent will be
common Saturday. The combination of hot, dry, and locally breezy
conditions will bring elevated fire weather conditions today across
the interior, becoming brief critical on Saturday when there is a
better overlap of gusty winds and very low humidity(especially in
the mountains of Los Angeles and Ventura counties and Antelope
Valley).  With ample dead fuels and dried grasses, the risk for
large grass fires will remain elevated through at least Saturday.
Humidity levels are expected to rise with the incoming tropical
moisture Sunday into Monday.

This moisture, from the remnants of Tropical Storm Alberto, will
bring a 10-20 percent chance of thunderstorms to areas south of
Point Conception Saturday night into Sunday, then falling to less
than 10 percent by Monday. With the lowest levels of the atmosphere
still fairly dry on Saturday night, any thunderstorms that do form
will most likely have limited rainfall which could trigger a fire
ignition and generate gusty downdraft winds. As the atmosphere
moistens on Sunday, there will be a low but present risk for brief
heavy downpours, especially in the mountains.


$$

ECC031-221030-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
926 AM PDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS INTERIOR TODAY, BECOMING
BRIEF CRITICAL ON SATURDAY DUE TO HOT, DRY, AND LOCALLY BREEZY
CONDITIONS...

...LONG DURATION HEAT AND MODERATELY DRY CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...

...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY FOR
AREAS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION...

Mountain, interior valleys, and deserts will remain dry and  breezy
today but improved from earlier this week. Southwest to northwest
wind gusts will peak between 20 and 35 mph this afternoon and
evening with minimum humidities generally between 10 and 20 percent.
The flow will shift to the southeast and south on Saturday, with
gusts between 20 and 35 mph across the interior.

High pressure will build once again this weekend. Hot and dry
conditions will return with the potential of a long duration event
lasting through most of next week and beyond. High temperatures
between 96 and 107 will be common from the warmest coastal valleys
to the interior areas. Breezy winds from typical diurnal directions
will form each day. Sundowner and I-5 Corridor winds expected will
start again Monday and increase each day through next week, with
gusts reaching 40 to 50 mph by Thursday. Minimum humidities over the
mountains and interior areas between 8 and  15 percent will be
common Saturday. The combination of hot, dry, and locally breezy
conditions will bring elevated fire weather conditions today across
the interior, becoming brief critical on Saturday when there is a
better overlap of gusty winds and very low humidity(especially in
the mountains of Los Angeles and Ventura counties and Antelope
Valley).  With ample dead fuels and dried grasses, the risk for
large grass fires will remain elevated through at least Saturday.
Humidity levels are expected to rise with the incoming tropical
moisture Sunday into Monday.

This moisture, from the remnants of Tropical Storm Alberto, will
bring a 10-20 percent chance of thunderstorms to areas south of
Point Conception Saturday night into Sunday, then falling to less
than 10 percent by Monday. With the lowest levels of the atmosphere
still fairly dry on Saturday night, any thunderstorms that do form
will most likely have limited rainfall which could trigger a fire
ignition and generate gusty downdraft winds. As the atmosphere
moistens on Sunday, there will be a low but present risk for brief
heavy downpours, especially in the mountains.


$$

ECC024-221030-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
926 AM PDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS INTERIOR TODAY, BECOMING
BRIEF CRITICAL ON SATURDAY DUE TO HOT, DRY, AND LOCALLY BREEZY
CONDITIONS...

...LONG DURATION HEAT AND MODERATELY DRY CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...

...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY FOR
AREAS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION...

Mountain, interior valleys, and deserts will remain dry and  breezy
today but improved from earlier this week. Southwest to northwest
wind gusts will peak between 20 and 35 mph this afternoon and
evening with minimum humidities generally between 10 and 20 percent.
The flow will shift to the southeast and south on Saturday, with
gusts between 20 and 35 mph across the interior.

High pressure will build once again this weekend. Hot and dry
conditions will return with the potential of a long duration event
lasting through most of next week and beyond. High temperatures
between 96 and 107 will be common from the warmest coastal valleys
to the interior areas. Breezy winds from typical diurnal directions
will form each day. Sundowner and I-5 Corridor winds expected will
start again Monday and increase each day through next week, with
gusts reaching 40 to 50 mph by Thursday. Minimum humidities over the
mountains and interior areas between 8 and  15 percent will be
common Saturday. The combination of hot, dry, and locally breezy
conditions will bring elevated fire weather conditions today across
the interior, becoming brief critical on Saturday when there is a
better overlap of gusty winds and very low humidity(especially in
the mountains of Los Angeles and Ventura counties and Antelope
Valley).  With ample dead fuels and dried grasses, the risk for
large grass fires will remain elevated through at least Saturday.
Humidity levels are expected to rise with the incoming tropical
moisture Sunday into Monday.

This moisture, from the remnants of Tropical Storm Alberto, will
bring a 10-20 percent chance of thunderstorms to areas south of
Point Conception Saturday night into Sunday, then falling to less
than 10 percent by Monday. With the lowest levels of the atmosphere
still fairly dry on Saturday night, any thunderstorms that do form
will most likely have limited rainfall which could trigger a fire
ignition and generate gusty downdraft winds. As the atmosphere
moistens on Sunday, there will be a low but present risk for brief
heavy downpours, especially in the mountains.


$$

ECC032-221030-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
926 AM PDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS INTERIOR TODAY, BECOMING
BRIEF CRITICAL ON SATURDAY DUE TO HOT, DRY, AND LOCALLY BREEZY
CONDITIONS...

...LONG DURATION HEAT AND MODERATELY DRY CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...

...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY FOR
AREAS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION...

Mountain, interior valleys, and deserts will remain dry and  breezy
today but improved from earlier this week. Southwest to northwest
wind gusts will peak between 20 and 35 mph this afternoon and
evening with minimum humidities generally between 10 and 20 percent.
The flow will shift to the southeast and south on Saturday, with
gusts between 20 and 35 mph across the interior.

High pressure will build once again this weekend. Hot and dry
conditions will return with the potential of a long duration event
lasting through most of next week and beyond. High temperatures
between 96 and 107 will be common from the warmest coastal valleys
to the interior areas. Breezy winds from typical diurnal directions
will form each day. Sundowner and I-5 Corridor winds expected will
start again Monday and increase each day through next week, with
gusts reaching 40 to 50 mph by Thursday. Minimum humidities over the
mountains and interior areas between 8 and  15 percent will be
common Saturday. The combination of hot, dry, and locally breezy
conditions will bring elevated fire weather conditions today across
the interior, becoming brief critical on Saturday when there is a
better overlap of gusty winds and very low humidity(especially in
the mountains of Los Angeles and Ventura counties and Antelope
Valley).  With ample dead fuels and dried grasses, the risk for
large grass fires will remain elevated through at least Saturday.
Humidity levels are expected to rise with the incoming tropical
moisture Sunday into Monday.

This moisture, from the remnants of Tropical Storm Alberto, will
bring a 10-20 percent chance of thunderstorms to areas south of
Point Conception Saturday night into Sunday, then falling to less
than 10 percent by Monday. With the lowest levels of the atmosphere
still fairly dry on Saturday night, any thunderstorms that do form
will most likely have limited rainfall which could trigger a fire
ignition and generate gusty downdraft winds. As the atmosphere
moistens on Sunday, there will be a low but present risk for brief
heavy downpours, especially in the mountains.


$$

ECC030-221030-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
926 AM PDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS INTERIOR TODAY, BECOMING
BRIEF CRITICAL ON SATURDAY DUE TO HOT, DRY, AND LOCALLY BREEZY
CONDITIONS...

...LONG DURATION HEAT AND MODERATELY DRY CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...

...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY FOR
AREAS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION...

Mountain, interior valleys, and deserts will remain dry and  breezy
today but improved from earlier this week. Southwest to northwest
wind gusts will peak between 20 and 35 mph this afternoon and
evening with minimum humidities generally between 10 and 20 percent.
The flow will shift to the southeast and south on Saturday, with
gusts between 20 and 35 mph across the interior.

High pressure will build once again this weekend. Hot and dry
conditions will return with the potential of a long duration event
lasting through most of next week and beyond. High temperatures
between 96 and 107 will be common from the warmest coastal valleys
to the interior areas. Breezy winds from typical diurnal directions
will form each day. Sundowner and I-5 Corridor winds expected will
start again Monday and increase each day through next week, with
gusts reaching 40 to 50 mph by Thursday. Minimum humidities over the
mountains and interior areas between 8 and  15 percent will be
common Saturday. The combination of hot, dry, and locally breezy
conditions will bring elevated fire weather conditions today across
the interior, becoming brief critical on Saturday when there is a
better overlap of gusty winds and very low humidity(especially in
the mountains of Los Angeles and Ventura counties and Antelope
Valley).  With ample dead fuels and dried grasses, the risk for
large grass fires will remain elevated through at least Saturday.
Humidity levels are expected to rise with the incoming tropical
moisture Sunday into Monday.

This moisture, from the remnants of Tropical Storm Alberto, will
bring a 10-20 percent chance of thunderstorms to areas south of
Point Conception Saturday night into Sunday, then falling to less
than 10 percent by Monday. With the lowest levels of the atmosphere
still fairly dry on Saturday night, any thunderstorms that do form
will most likely have limited rainfall which could trigger a fire
ignition and generate gusty downdraft winds. As the atmosphere
moistens on Sunday, there will be a low but present risk for brief
heavy downpours, especially in the mountains.


$$