Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM
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519 FXUS65 KABQ 011740 AFDABQ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 1140 AM MDT Sat Nov 1 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1140 AM MDT Sat Nov 1 2025 - Remaining dry with highs generally around 5 to 15 degrees above average next week. - Breezy to locally windy conditions across the eastern highlands and northeast and east central plains Thursday. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Sunday night) Issued at 1140 AM MDT Sat Nov 1 2025 A splendid 1st weekend of November is underway across the Land of Enchantment with some high clouds and generally light winds. Temperatures are cooler and slightly below normal across eastern NM behind last night`s backdoor front. Seasonably chilly tonight. A 589 dam upper high at 500 mb over Southern CA today moves over the state on Sunday. This will result in warmer and above average temperatures areawide. The most noticeable warming will be across eastern NM, with temperatures 12 to 18 degrees warmer, due to light downslope southwest and west winds. Not as chilly Sunday night with overnight lows 5 to 15 degrees above average. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through Friday) Issued at 1140 AM MDT Sat Nov 1 2025 The upper high shifts to south Texas and northeast Mexico with weak southwest flow and a band of high clouds over the state on Monday. Temperatures across far northeast NM cool down a little closer to average due to a weak backdoor front moving through Monday morning. Temperatures still around 8 to 12 degrees above average across the rest of the state. Brisk westerly flow of 25 to 30 kts at 700 mb on Tuesday will result in breezy winds across the central highlands. Temperatures will be 5 to 10 degrees above average across western NM and around 15 degrees above average across the eastern plains due to the downslope westerly flow. A weak upper level ridge moves over the state on Wednesday with light winds and temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above average areawide. Temperatures across northeast NM will be a little cooler than Tuesday due to another weak backdoor front moving through Wednesday morning. Westerly flow increases once again on Thursday as an upper level trough moves across the northern and central Rockies. 700 mb winds of 25 to 35 kts along with a ~1005 mb surface lee low across northeast NM will result in breezy to locally windy conditions across the eastern highlands and northeast and east central plains. Strongest winds will be across the east slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains and central highlands (i.e. Clines Corners and Vaughn) where max gusts will be around 45 mph based on ensemble guidance. Slightly cooler on Friday behind the Pacific front. Still breezy across the eastern highlands and northeast and east central plains due to another ~ 1005 mb surface lee low across southeast CO. Another broad upper level ridge moves over the region next weekend with temperatures slightly above average and light winds. A little more cooling across eastern NM on Saturday due to a weak backdoor front. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1140 AM MDT Sat Nov 1 2025 VFR conditions with generally light winds and some high clouds. Brisk northwest breezes across the northwest plateau, including KFMN, this afternoon and a brisk north drainage wind at KSAF Sunday morning. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1140 AM MDT Sat Nov 1 2025 No critical fire weather conditions are expected through next weekend. High pressure moves overhead on Sunday resulting in generally poor ventilation. Good ventilation across the western and central high terrain Monday as westerly flow begins to increase. Some elevated fire weather conditions along with fair to good ventilation across the east central highlands and plains on Tuesday and the northern and eastern highlands and east central plains on Thursday due to breezy west winds and ERCs just above average for this time of year. Max wind gusts potentially around 45 mph across the east slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains and central highlands (i.e. Clines Corners and Vaughn) on Thursday. Fair to locally good ventilation across the far northeast plains on Friday due to some breezy southwest winds before becoming generally poor areawide next weekend as another upper level ridge moves overhead. Minimum relative humidity values will be 15-25% most days with fair to good recoveries each night. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Farmington...................... 34 69 35 70 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 25 69 27 71 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 32 69 36 70 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 25 73 26 70 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 31 71 33 69 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 26 74 27 74 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 33 72 34 74 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 39 71 42 73 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 35 71 37 72 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 31 78 33 77 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 35 81 37 81 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 28 65 31 66 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 38 68 41 69 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 38 70 42 70 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 34 68 39 69 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 30 61 34 61 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 17 66 21 67 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 24 70 27 71 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 34 72 40 71 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 31 73 34 75 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 39 68 43 70 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 34 69 38 71 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 45 71 48 73 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 40 72 43 75 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 37 74 41 77 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 39 73 43 75 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 34 72 36 76 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 39 75 42 76 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 34 73 37 76 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 38 75 42 76 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 35 72 38 75 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 42 71 46 72 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 39 73 42 75 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 40 75 43 79 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 40 67 42 69 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 40 68 43 70 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 35 70 38 73 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 29 72 32 74 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 35 67 39 70 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 37 68 41 71 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 35 69 39 72 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 40 70 45 75 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 40 67 44 70 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 31 73 40 66 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 30 75 37 69 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 29 77 35 72 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 34 72 39 71 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 38 78 44 68 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 32 74 39 69 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 32 79 38 76 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 35 78 42 77 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 34 79 39 76 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 37 75 44 79 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 36 77 41 82 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 33 79 40 80 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 37 78 41 81 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 38 77 46 80 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 36 75 44 78 / 0 0 0 0 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...71 LONG TERM....71 AVIATION...71