402
FNUS73 KABR 161308
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Kufrin Piles...FWS
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
808 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on June 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Some early morning showers and storms are departing the area.
This is impacting winds with light easterly flow that is
temporary with low level winds becoming more southerly through the
mid to late morning hours. We will continue to see light shower
activity off and on through the morning as well, with
thunderstorms possible in the afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog late
                    in the morning. Showers and thunderstorms
                    likely through the day.
CWR.................46 percent decreasing to 24 percent late in the
                    morning, then decreasing to 14 percent late in
                    the morning increasing to 25 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance of lightning.59 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph late
                    in the morning, then shifting to the southwest
                    early in the afternoon shifting to the west 10
                    to 12 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon, then
                    gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......900-3400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 15 mph shifting to the west 12
                    to 15 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (44300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75  75  65  70  56  62  47  41  45
Weather cov.....LKY CHC SCH     LKY CHC CHC LKY CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW      RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY CHC SCH     LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60  30  20  10  60  50  40  60  50
Chc of ltng (%).60  30  20  10  60  50  40  40  40
Temp............67  70  72  74  77  76  79  77  77
RH..............97  90  87  84  76  82  72  74  76
20 FT wind dir..VRB SE  S   S   SW  W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..3   5   7   10  10  12  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.8   8   12  17  20  18  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.4 1.6 1.7 2.4 2.5 3.4 3.1 3.0
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................8 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of lightning.11 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400-2800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph shifting to the north 8
                    to 9 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (41300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2600 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........29     17     24     39     56     50
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      10     0      10
Chc of ltng (%).10     0      0      10     0      10
Temp............77     74     67     65     64     62
RH..............74     76     90     90     93     97
20 ft wind......NW 10  NW 9   NW 7   N 6    NW 6   N 5
20 ft wind gust.18     16     14     13     12     10
Mix hgt (ft)....2800   1000   400    400    400    400
Smoke Dispersal.FAIR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
CWR.................4 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of lightning.14 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......400-4100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2900 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........76        62        55        60
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10        0         0         10
Chc of ltng (%).10        0         0         10
Temp............60        64        71        74
RH..............100       97        77        64
20 FT wind......NW 5G12   N 5G12    N 6G13    N 5G13
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1200      2600      4100
Smoke Dispersal.POOR      POOR      POOR      POOR

$$
Forecaster...Connelly
Requested by...Millette
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2516037.0/ABR
.DELDT 06/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL phil_millette@fws.gov