765
FNAK71 PAFC 031329
FWSAER

Spot Forecast for Avy Acres RX...USFS
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
429 AM AKST Mon Nov 3 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 AKST on November 03.
.DISCUSSION...

A trough will persist over the region through midweek with daily
chances for snow showers today, tomorrow, and beyond. Temperatures
will trend cooler through the end of the week with daily high and
low temperatures dropping a degree or two each day. Light
northerly winds will change little today and tomorrow.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers.
CWR.................22 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 34.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 6 mph in the late morning and
                    early afternoon becoming light.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 9 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.04 inches.
Snowfall amount.....0.0 inches.

TIME (AKST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80  80  58  58  58  61  61  61
Weather cov.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  40  40  40  30  30  30
Temp............28  29  31  33  34  33  31  29
RH..............87  86  83  75  74  71  73  76
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   10  10  10  9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.13  13  16  16  16  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   9   7   7   7
Vent (m^2/s)....5528        6560        3334

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers early in the evening, then numerous
                    snow showers in the late evening and overnight.
CWR.................34 percent.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 22.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 8 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.07 inches.
Snowfall amount.....0.8 inches.

TIME (AKST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........71  71  71  80  80  80  79  79  79  81  81  81
Weather cov.....SCT SCT SCT NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
CWR.............30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  40  60  60  60  70  70  70  60  60  60
Temp............27  27  25  25  24  23  23  24  23  23  24  23
RH..............78  78  84  84  86  88  88  86  87  87  88  88
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   6   6   6   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  9   9   9   9   9   9   14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Vent (m^2/s)....3781            3633        2526        2576

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous snow
                    showers.
CWR.................27 percent.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 32.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.12 inches.
Snowfall amount.....0.9 inches.

TIME (AKST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........83  83  83  85  85  85  78  78  78  71  71  71
Weather cov.....NUM NUM NUM SCT SCT SCT NUM NUM NUM SCT SCT SCT
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
CWR.............30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
Chc of pcpn (%).60  60  60  50  50  50  60  60  60  40  40  40
Temp............22  22  22  22  24  26  28  30  32  32  32  31
RH..............89  89  89  89  88  86  83  79  76  74  75  78
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  13  13  13  13  13  13  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   7   7   9   9   9   8   8   8
Vent (m^2/s)....2179            3410        5688        7021

$$
Forecaster...BLawson
Requested by...Nathan Basford
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2524819.0/AER
.DELDT 11/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nathan.basford@usda.gov,ruth.damico@usda.gov