058
FNAK79 PAFG 171442
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Tatlanika...DOF
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
642 AM AKDT Mon Aug 17 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on August 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
The main body of the front passed over the fire overnight. There
is some chance of postfrontal showers developing near the fire,
but southerly flow continues over the mountains south of the fire
which will limit precipitation potential. Gusty winds are still
expected over the fire which will mix down near the surface with
increasing frequency as mixing heights increase in the afternoon.
The winds are expected to last through the day and weaken
overnight. The remains of the front push south towards the fire
late Monday through Wednesday which will increase the chances of
wetting rains as those winds weaken. Significantly cooler
temperatures are expected near the fire with highs in the 60s
through the end of the week. Minimum RH recovers well with these
cooler temperatures and showery conditions with RH expected to
remain above 40 through the end of the week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Haze through the
                    day. Scattered rain showers in the morning.
                    Isolated rain showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................11 percent.
CWR25...............0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None (0 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the
afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......South winds 15 to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9am.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Haze through the
                    night. Scattered rain showers in the evening.
                    Numerous rain showers overnight.
CWR.................33 percent.
CWR25...............20 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None (0 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph with gusts to around
20 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 13 mph.
Inversion setup.....8pm.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Numerous rain showers
                    in the morning, then scattered rain showers in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................22 percent.
CWR25...............10 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None (0 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 9 mph with gusts to around
                    20 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 16 mph.
Inversion burnoff...10am.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in
the mid 60s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in
the mid 60s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...STOKES
Requested by...Dane Smigleski
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619083.11/AFG
.DELDT 08/17/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Teresa.rose@alaska.gov,dane.smigleski@alaska.gov,dnr.dffp.nfdc@alaska.gov