384
FXAK67 PAJK 021359
AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
459 AM AKST Mon Nov 2 2026

.SYNOPSIS...

Key Messages:

- The wet and active pattern will continue through the week as
  multiple fronts push into the South panhandle, bringing periods
  of moderate to heavy rainfall and strong winds.

- Maritime interests should remain aware of multiple Gale force
  fronts with potential for Storm Force Wind Gusts across the Gulf
  and along the Southeast Alaska coast on Tuesday, Thursday, and
  into the weekend.

- Light snow possible along northern highways. Little to no snow
  for the Haines Highway, with 2 to 5 inches through Tuesday night
  near White Pass.

&&

.SHORT TERM.../through Tuesday night/...
Onshore showers will continue for northern and central coast and
into northern panhandle this morning but will be on a downward
trend this afternoon. Snow showers will still be possible along
Haines and Klondike Highways. Little to no snow accumulation
expected along the Haines Highway through tonight with up to two
inches possible for White Pass. Another mesolow will cross Haida
Gwaii into Dixon Entrance and lift up into Misty Fjords, bringing
moderate to heavy rainfall across the SE portion of the panhandle,
with up to an inch of rain possible for Ketchikan, Annette
Island and especially over towards Hyder. Precip will trend down
on Monday night across the panhandle as ridge of high pressure
builds over the panhandle. before a larger and more widespread
system begins to move in Tuesday morning. This break will be
short-lived as the next intensifying front is lifting northeast
the Gulf. Widespread moderate to heavy rain and gusty
southeasterly winds develop the front pushes into the panhandle
through Tuesday night. Rain amounts of 0.5 to 1.5 inches expected.
More snow expected near Dalton Cache and the upper Klondike
Highway. Again, little to no snow for Dalton Cache with up to
around 3 inches possible for White Pass. Milder temps with highs
generally in the 40s for today and tomorrow.

.LONG TERM.../Wednesday through Saturday/...
An active Fall pattern continues through the extended forecast.
Maritime interests should remain aware of multiple Gale force
fronts pushing across the Gulf and along the SEAK coast by
Thursday and into the weekend.

We pick up the extended forecast on Wednesday morning with the
remnants of the Tuesday system pushing out of SEAK, scattered
showers and diminishing winds briefly through the afternoon.
However, Wednesday will be the last "quiet" day of the extended
period as multiple strong low pressure systems that will traverse
the North Pacific and then into the Gulf for the end of the week
and into the weekend. Some variance on timing , but still thinking
by Wednesday night a strong low develops in the northern Pacific
and deepens to ~970mb by Thursday morning as it moves into the
southern Gulf of Alaska. This low will swing a strong occluding
front across the gulf through Thursday, bringing another round of
sustained Gale force winds 35 to 45 kts and storm force gusts up
to 55 kts across the Gulf and along the coast from Dixon Entrance
northward to the Fairweather Grounds by Thursday afternoon into
Thursday night. Strong overland winds up to 45 mph focused across
the southern panhandle by Tuesday afternoon, primarily Prince of
Wales, Ketchikan, and Annette Island so will need to keep on
potential Wind Advisory Issuance moving into the middle part of
the week. This low and its attendant front continue to push into
the NE Gulf coast through Friday afternoon with scattered,off and
on showers becoming more prevalent into Friday night, so there is
a potential brief break in the widespread rainfall Friday night,
albeit not high confidence.

Total rainfall amounts from the front on Thursday into Friday
total ~0.5 to 1.5 inches across the northern and central
panhandle, and ~1.5 to 2.5 inches of rain for the southern
panhandle. With the follow up systems from Friday night into
Saturday night, rainfall amounts will once again be around the
same, maybe a bit higher given influx of available moisture tap.
All in all, the totals from Thursday through Saturday night,
around 72 hours, are around 2 to 4 inches for the northern and
central panhandle, 3 to 5 inches across the southern areas. Give
persistent warmer southerly winds across the panhandle, any
snowfall should remain at the upper elevations of the Klondike
Highway near White Pass and Haines Border Crossing. The further we
get into the extended the less forecast confidence in placement
of developing systems, but general consensus is that the pattern
remains active with yet another surface low developing in the Gulf
of Alaska on the periphery of a deep long wave trough situated
across the Gulf into latter half of the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION.../through 12Z Monday/...A showery regime prevails
across the panhandle early Monday morning bringing periods of
rain across the area. Showers passing through have brought IFR
conditions, CIGs as low as 700ft and VIS to 2SM, to prevailing VFR
and high end MVFR conditions. This trend is expected to continue
through the morning hours but generally clear through the day. A
frontal system aimed at British Columbia is clipping the southern
panhandle, bringing clouds AoA 3,000ft with slight more constant
rain at the southern most sites (PAKT and PAMM). This front will
move east through the morning hours leaving the central and
southern panhandle generally dry by 21-0Z. A brief respite from
the rain is expected to arrive by the very end of the period, but
lower level clouds are likely to linger with onshore flow and
light winds.

&&

.MARINE...
Outside (Gulf and Coastal Waters): Elevated seas 7 to 10 ft will
slowly subside as the S to SW swell diminishes. Fresh SEly from
Fairweather Grounds to Yakutat Bay, with strong to near gale force
from Icy Bay to Cape Suckling. Winds and seas begin to increase
tonight as the next gale force front lifts northeast into the Gulf
on Tuesday. Widespread gales and large seas 15 to 25+ ft
expected. Storm force gusts are expected for the northern Gulf
waters. After a brief improvement in marine conditions on
Wednesday, a stronger larger gale to storm force low/front is
expected to push into the Gulf by Thursday,

Inside (Inner Channels):
Another mesolow is tracking over Haida Gwaii and lifting
northeast into Dixon Entrance this morning. Strong SEly with gale
force gusts are expected to build into southern Clarence Strait
with as the low pushes towards Misty Fjords, then weakening
through the afternoon. Otherwise, gentle to moderate winds through
the inner channels through tonight. The next front will approach
by Tuesday and will bring another round of fresh to strong breezes
into Wednesday, with gales likely into Clarence Strait. Yet
another round of strong breezes to gales is on tap for Thursday as
a stronger low and front lift through the region.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ642>644-651-652-661>664-671-672.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ021-022-032>036-053-641.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DS
LONG TERM...NM
AVIATION...AGP
MARINE...DS

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