Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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726
FNUS71 KALY 021353
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for Flat Brook WMA Rx Fire...MassWildlife
National Weather Service Albany NY
853 AM EST Sun Nov 2 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EST on November 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A dry and cool end to the weekend is in store as high pressure
passes just south of the region. Mild temperatures arrive Monday
ahead of a cold front, which will be accompanied gusty winds and
rain showers. Additional chances of precipitation are expected
through the week as we shift into an active pattern, with
temperatures remaining close to normal for early November.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............34.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6100 knot-ft).
LVORI...............9.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EST)      5AM
Sky (%).........13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0
Temp............35
Dewpoint........34
RH..............96
20 FT wind dir..S
20 FT wind spd..2
20 FT wind gust.7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7
Transp wind dir.S
Transp wind spd.10
LVORI...........9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6
Ventrate Cat....PR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Dewpoint............35 increasing to 42 early in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 12 mph with
                    gusts to around 24 mph.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 14 mph increasing to southwest 18 to
                    25 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (94600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............7.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........12     6      19     44     56     56
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      30     30
Temp............35     42     53     57     58     56
Dewpoint........34     40     43     44     44     43
RH..............96     93     69     62     60     62
20 ft wind......S 3    S 6    S 8    SW 10  SW 12  SW 12
20 ft wind gust.8      12     15     21     24     23
Mix hgt (ft)....700    900    2000   3900   3700   1700
Transport wind..S 9    S 10   SW 20  SW 25  SW 24  SW 20
LVORI...........9      8      4      3      3      3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5      9      35     84     78     29
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   GOOD   GOOD   POOR

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
                    in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Dewpoint............42 decreasing to 36 overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 9 to 10 mph with gusts to
                    around 21 mph shifting to the west 8 to 10 mph
                    with gusts to around 23 mph in the late evening
                    and overnight.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (14800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (9000 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............6.
Pcpn amount.........0.04 inches.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........73     76     65     65     33     33
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30     50     50     50     0      0
Temp............51     47     44     42     40     39
Dewpoint........44     M      41     M      M      35
RH..............77     86     89     86     85     85
20 ft wind......SW 10  SW 9   W 9    W 8    W 8    W 10
20 ft wind gust.21     20     20     20     21     23
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   700    800    800    700    800
Transport wind..SW 18  W 16   W 15   W 14   W 15   W 16
LVORI...........4      6      7      6      6      6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15     10     10     9      9      11
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Dewpoint............35.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 29
                    mph.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 24 mph shifting to the northwest 21
                    to 29 mph in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then shifting to the west 16 to 17
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (78200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (64600
                    knot-ft) in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then decreasing to fair (24100
                    knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to
                    good (38600 knot-ft) in the afternoon late in
                    the afternoon.
LVORI...............7 early in the morning.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........29     26     25     28     29     26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............37     40     47     51     52     51
Dewpoint........M      M      36     M      M      34
RH..............89     82     65     54     50     52
20 ft wind......W 10   W 12   NW 15  W 15   W 14   W 13
20 ft wind gust.22     22     26     29     28     25
Mix hgt (ft)....900    2400   4900   5700   4800   2600
Transport wind..W 15   W 20   NW 28  NW 28  NW 24  W 17
LVORI...........7      M      M      M      M      M
Vrate kt-ft/1K..11     41     116    140    98     39
Ventrate Cat....POOR   FAIR   VYGD   VYGD   GOOD   POOR

$$
Forecaster...27
Requested by...Alex Entrup
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2524893.0/ALY
.DELDT 11/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alex.entrup@mass.gov