510
FGUS51 KTAR 272151
RVFALY
RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA
0551 PM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:************************************************************
:Schoharie Creek - Prattsville, NY
:Flood stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 5.7 FT at Sep-27 0515 PM
.ER PTVN6 20260927 E DC202609271751/DH20/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0927:                  /   5.3 /   5.1
.E2  :0928:  /   5.3 /   5.5 /   5.8 /   5.8
.E3  :0929:  /   5.7 /   5.4 /   5.2 /   4.9
.E4  :0930:  /   4.7 /   4.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:  0.36/ 0.25/ 0.19/ 0.12/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:Schoharie Creek - Gilboa Dam, NY
:Flood stage {Missing}
:Latest Observed Value - 1128.7 FT at Sep-27 0515 PM
.ER GILN6 20260927 E DC202609271751/DH20/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0927:                  /1128.7 /1129.4
.E2  :0928:  /1130.0 /1130.4 /1130.6 /1130.7
.E3  :0929:  /1130.7 /1130.6 /1130.5 /1130.5
.E4  :0930:  /1130.4 /1130.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:  0.28/ 0.11/ 0.18/ 0.09/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:LAKE LEVELS ARE AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION AND DIVERSION
:************************************************************
:Schoharie Creek - Gilboa, NY
:Flood stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 9.4 FT at Sep-27 0515 PM
.ER GBRN6 20260927 E DC202609271751/DH20/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0927:                  /   9.0 /   9.0
.E2  :0928:  /  10.7 /  12.7 /  13.4 /  13.6
.E3  :0929:  /  13.6 /  13.5 /  13.2 /  12.9
.E4  :0930:  /  12.6 /  12.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED OFTEN BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:************************************************************
:Schoharie Creek - Breakabeen, NY
:Flood stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 1.3 FT at Sep-27 0530 PM
.ER BKBN6 20260927 E DC202609271751/DH20/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0927:                  /   1.4 /   1.9
.E2  :0928:  /   2.1 /   3.0 /   3.9 /   4.3
.E3  :0929:  /   4.4 /   4.4 /   4.2 /   3.9
.E4  :0930:  /   3.6 /   3.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:  0.30/ 0.06/ 0.19/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:************************************************************
:Schoharie Creek - Burtonsville, NY
:Flood stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 0.9 FT at Sep-27 0445 PM
.ER BRTN6 20260927 E DC202609271751/DH20/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0927:                  /   0.9 /   1.0
.E2  :0928:  /   1.2 /   1.3 /   1.6 /   2.0
.E3  :0929:  /   2.2 /   2.3 /   2.3 /   2.3
.E4  :0930:  /   2.2 /   2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:  0.31/ 0.02/ 0.21/ 0.06/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:************************************************************
:Esopus Creek - Cold Brook, NY
:Flood stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 4.5 FT at Sep-27 0500 PM
.ER MTRN6 20260927 E DC202609271751/DH20/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0927:                  /   4.6 /   5.0
.E2  :0928:  /   5.2 /   5.2 /   4.9 /   4.8
.E3  :0929:  /   4.7 /   4.7 /   4.7 /   4.6
.E4  :0930:  /   4.6 /   4.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:  0.20/ 0.26/ 0.22/ 0.11/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED OFTEN BY DIVERSIONS
:************************************************************
:Esopus Creek - Mt Marion, NY
:Flood stage 20.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 12.7 FT at Sep-27 0530 PM
.ER MRNN6 20260927 E DC202609271751/DH20/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0927:                  /  12.7 /  12.8
.E2  :0928:  /  12.8 /  12.9 /  13.0 /  13.1
.E3  :0929:  /  13.1 /  13.1 /  13.1 /  13.1
.E4  :0930:  /  13.0 /  13.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:  0.11/ 0.19/ 0.16/ 0.22/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED AT TIMES BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:************************************************************
:Roundout Reservoir - Roundout Resvr, NY
:Flood stage {Missing}
:Latest Observed Value - 836.6 FT at Sep-27 0200 PM
.ER RONN6 20260927 E DC202609271751/DH20/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0927:                  / 836.7 / 836.8
.E2  :0928:  / 836.9 / 837.0 / 837.1 / 837.2
.E3  :0929:  / 837.3 / 837.3 / 837.4 / 837.4
.E4  :0930:  / 837.4 / 837.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:  0.14/ 0.38/ 0.19/ 0.11/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
$$
:NERFC
:...END of MESSAGE...