Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
170 FXUS64 KAMA 011832 AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 1232 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025 ...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1126 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025 -Potential for light snow Wednesday night into Thursday for portions of the Panhandles. -Cold front on Thursday may drop high temperatures back into the 30s. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Tuesday night) Issued at 1126 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025 Another chilly day across the Panhandles with most locations still in the 30s as of the latest 18Z obs. Low level CAA continues to usher in some cold temperatures. Aided by clearing skies and lighter winds by tonight, overnight low temperatures should drop into the teens once again for many locations. By tomorrow, with a deepening H500 trough over the central Rockies, this will shift our surface winds from northerly back to southwesterly. As a result, warmer temperatures return to the Panhandles tomorrow with highs ranging from the mid 50s to lower 60s under mostly clear skies. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday through next Sunday) Issued at 1126 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025 We continue to watch the potential for some light snow to move into portions of the central and western Panhandles Wednesday night into Thursday as a mid level perturbation moves SSE out of southern Colorado. Scant moisture inflow from the latest H850-700 theta-e analysis is not too promising for widespread amounts. Lift near the main trough axis itself will help the snowfall potential, in-conjunction with the main trough axis` southerly track, we will have to watch the potential for also some Canadian River valley effect snow as well, if moisture in the DGZ is present. As of the latest 12-18Z model and numerical data-sets, given the meteorological parameters, currently about a 10-30% chance of inch of snow ending Thursday night from a line from Amarillo to Guymon points west. Will watch closely to see how these trends develop over the next 24-48 hours w.r.t to snowfall amounts. Going past Thursday into the coming weekend, dry conditions will return with H500 WNW flow with UL subsidence persistent over the Panhandles. After a cold front bringing temperatures well below average for Wednesday and Thursday, temperatures will slowly rebound closer to average towards the end of the long term forecast period. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1115 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025 VFR conditions are expected throughout the 18Z TAF period at all TAF sites. Winds will range from southwesterly to northwesterly at 5-15 kts under mostly clear skies. && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. OK...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...29 LONG TERM....29 AVIATION...29