676
FXUS64 KAMA 190515
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1215 AM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1056 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

- Warmer than normal temperatures are expected through the next
week. The central and eastern combined Panhandles look to remain in
the upper-90s to low-100s through at least Tuesday.

- There will be a low chance for showers and thunderstorms on an
evening/early overnight basis through much of the next work week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday night)
Issued at 1056 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

Heat continues to be the main weather concern through this short-
term period. An upper-level ridge will remain in place over the
region and with 850mb temperatures around the 75th percentile today
and Sunday, temperatures are forecast to be in the mid- to upper-
90s, with scattered pockets in the central and eastern combined
Panhandles reaching 100-102 degrees.

On both evenings, will have to keep an eye out for convection in New
Mexico trying to make its way into the western Panhandles. However,
current expectation is that this activity will weaken before it
arrives.

Vanden Bosch

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1056 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

A very weak upper-level low, riding the southern extent of the upper-
level ridge, will make its way into western Texas on Monday.
However, this won`t stop temperatures from heating into the upper-
90s to low-100s across most of the Panhandles. Will have to watch
for a low chance for showers and thunderstorms to move into the
western combined Panhandles Monday evening.

High temperatures are favored to cool some on Tuesday but should
remain warmer than normal. Mid-level vorticity associated with the
upper-level low could enhance the chances for showers and
thunderstorms Tuesday night primarily across the southwestern Texas
Panhandle. Temperatures on Wednesday should remain similar to
Tuesday before additional lobes of vorticity could spark off
additional showers and thunderstorms Wednesday evening across a
greater portion of the Panhandles.

Beyond that, temperatures look to stay warmer than average as the
upper-level low dissipates and the upper-level ridge rebuilds over
the region.

Vanden Bosch

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1214 AM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025

VFR conditions at all terminals and across the panhandles for the
next 24 hours. Gusty southerly winds will be present during the
daytime hours across the panhandles impacting all terminals.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...52
LONG TERM....52
AVIATION...98