494
FXUS63 KAPX 022318
AFDAPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
718 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Elevated fire danger through Thursday due to continued dry
  conditions and breezy afternoon winds

- Dry conditions will continue today through Thursday, with
temperatures becoming hot starting Wednesday

- Next rain and storm chances possibly returning Thursday for
  the eastern U.P. and Friday for northern lower

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Tue June 2 2026

Pattern Synopsis: The pesky Omega block that has been impacting the
weather pattern across much of North America is starting to break
down. The upper-level ridging that has been responsible for our
extended period of dry weather is forecast to slide to the east and
break down by the end of the work week. At the same time the cutoff
upper-level low over the Northern/Canadian Rockies will weaken and
drift east the rest of the week. This system will result in our next
chance of rainfall by the end of the work week and into the weekend.
Upper-level ridging is forecast to build back into the Nation`s mid-
section early next week.

Forecast Details: At least a couple more quiet weather days expected
as area remains under the influence of upper-level ridging and
slowly departing surface high pressure. The airmass remains quite
dry through Thursday keeping the local fire danger elevated. That
being said, low-level winds turn southwesterly ahead of the
approaching late week system by Wednesday. This turning of the winds
will transport a warmer and slightly more humid air mass into the
area. This gradual increase in moisture will have us seeing more
clouds than the past several days.

Shower and thunderstorm chances start to spread into the area from
the northwest later Thursday night into Friday with the approach of
a weakening low pressure system and its associated frontal boundary.
Precipitation chances with this slow moving boundary will persist
for at least the first half of the weekend. Would not be surprised
to see this late week system to trend a little slower than current
indications since the blocking pattern has not fully broken down at
this point. Dry weather returns as ridging builds back to start next
week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 718 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026

VFR conditions will continue across northern Michigan through the
issuance period. Weak and variable/calm winds are anticipated
tonight. Winds will increase to 5-10 kts out of the west Wednesday
morning through the afternoon. Lake breeze formation is expected to
push inland from Lake Huron beginning early Wednesday afternoon into
the evening.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...PBB
AVIATION...DJC