Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 141829
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
229 PM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

...Isolated Shower Chances Through This Evening; Higher Chances
Midweek...

.DISCUSSION...

Isolated chances for rain continue through this evening with
increasing chances for rainfall Wednesday/ Thursday. Westerly
winds will shift southeast Tuesday with occasional 20 ft gusts 15
to 20 mph through this evening and Tuesday. Humidity values look
to lower to the mid, to possibly low, 30s Tuesday with mixing
heights forecasted to increase generally to 5.0 to 6.5 kft away
from the immediate coasts.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-150815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
229 PM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Haze after 2400.
Min Temperature.....61-66...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Haze.
Max Temperature.....88-93...except 74-79 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent...except 41-46 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (699).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....84-89...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent...except 61-66 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......32 percent wetter...except 17 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (387).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.12 in.
Chance of Thunder...21 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-150815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
229 PM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Haze.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Haze.
Max Temperature.....88-93...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Excellent (633).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    after 1200.
Max Temperature.....84-89...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    south in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (405).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-150815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
229 PM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Haze.
Min Temperature.....61-66...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer...except 5 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Haze.
Max Temperature.....87-92...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (596).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....62-67...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (321).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...21 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-150815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
229 PM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Haze.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer...except 5 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Haze.
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 77-82 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent...except 43-48 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (582).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....84-89...except 77-82 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent wetter...except 21 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (340).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-150815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
229 PM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Haze.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Haze.
Max Temperature.....86-91.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Excellent (687).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....84-89.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (466).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NSC