Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
961
FNUS53 KAPX 181824
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
224 PM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026
...Light rain chances return tonight/ Saturday...
.DISCUSSION...
Trends continue to support the bulk of the heaviest rain tracking
south of the area with perhaps some light rain still possible
across areas along and south of M-72. Light winds will prevail
through tonight and turn east to southeast on Saturday, increasing
with gusts 10-15 mph possible... Winds turn northeast and remain
gusty for Sunday (15-25 mph possible). Minimum RH values will
remain above critical levels through this weekend.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-190815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
224 PM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48...except 53-58 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (291).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
showers.
Min Temperature.....49-54...except 56-61 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (634).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-190815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
224 PM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 54-59 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated rain
showers until 1200Scattered rain showers after
1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68...except around 61 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (262).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
showers.
Min Temperature.....50-55...except 57-62 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Scattered rain
showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....64-69...except 57-62 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (552).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-190815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
224 PM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
showers until 2400, then isolated rain showers.
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 57-62 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer...except 5 degrees cooler near
the coast.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....64-69.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 5 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (256).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.13 in.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
showers.
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 57-62 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except unchanged along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (676).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-190815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
224 PM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
showers.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
after midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.20 in.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (219).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.29 in.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
showers.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (678).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-190815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
224 PM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated rain
showers.
Min Temperature.....44-49.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (217).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.31 in.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
showers.
Min Temperature.....49-54.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.16 in.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (668).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
NSC