Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
908 FNUS53 KAPX 110623 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 223 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024 ...Milder weather returns... .DISCUSSION...Developing south winds and still plenty of sunshine will allow temperatures to return to more normal levels today, with continued warming allowing readings to reach above normal levels Tuesday and Wednesday. Only very small chances for showers tonight, with more chances for showers returning later Wednesday night into Thursday (although definitely not looking like anything significant at this time). Low level moisture will again mix out aggressively today, allowing widespread sub 40 percent relative humidity values by later this morning and afternoon. Trends support rh values remaining a bit more elevated Tuesday and Wednesday. Sub-criteria level winds through Tuesday, with southwest winds becoming a bit more gusty on Wednesday. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-112330- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 223 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Max Temperature.....71-76...except 60-65 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........26-31 percent...except 35-40 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 1 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (364). Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......17 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........71-76 percent. 24 HR Trend......28 percent drier...except 21 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph after midnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (23). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....79-84...except 67-72 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 45-50 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (606). Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-112330- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 223 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Max Temperature.....71-76...except 57-62 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........28-33 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 8 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (398). Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......17 degrees warmer...except 12 degrees warmer near the coast. Max Humidity........71-76 percent. 24 HR Trend......26 percent drier...except 12 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (36). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....79-84...except 67-72 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 2 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (702). Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ020-025>027-112330- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 223 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....70-75...except 58-63 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........29-34 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except 2 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (385). Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......17 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........73-78 percent. 24 HR Trend......24 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (38). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max Temperature.....80-85...except 63-68 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (558). Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . $$ MIZ031>033-112330- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 223 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....70-75...except 63-68 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........28-33 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent drier...except unchanged along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (430). Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the southwest around 9 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....51-56. 24 HR Trend......17 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........74-79 percent. 24 HR Trend......28 percent drier...except 23 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (39). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max Temperature.....79-84...except 71-76 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........37-42 percent...except 47-52 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (633). Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-112330- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 223 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Max Temperature.....70-75. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........26-31 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (561). Mixing Height.......6100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......17 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........70-75 percent. 24 HR Trend......20 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (32). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....79-84. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (875). Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . $$ .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ MSB