055
FNUS53 KAPX 150624
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
224 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

...Dry and warm today, Rain chances increase Wednesday...

.DISCUSSION...Rain-free weather expected across the area today and
tonight, with increasing rain chances Wednesday...lasting until at
least Thursday morning. However, widespread rain is not expected at
this time. Low level moisture will again mix out today, and when
combined with well above normal temperatures, will result in
widespread sub 40 percent relative humidity values this afternoon.
RH values will remain much more elevated Wednesday and Thursday.
Mixing heights look to increase generally to 5.0 to 6.5 kft this
afternoon, with decreasing mixing heights tonight and Wednesday.
South to southwest winds will become a bit gusty this afternoon.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-152300-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
224 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Haze.
Max Temperature.....88-93...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent...except 44-49 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (616).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Haze.
Min Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 1 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Scattered
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....84-89...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (237).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.55 in.
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-152300-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
224 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Haze.
Max Temperature.....89-94...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except 2 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (521).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Haze.
Min Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........78-83 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier...except 14 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....85-90...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (321).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.41 in.
Chance of Thunder...31 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-152300-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
224 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Haze.
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer...except 8 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (529).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Haze. Slight
                    chance of showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 3 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Scattered showers
                    after 1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (173).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.52 in.
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-152300-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
224 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Haze.
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 78-83 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent...except 39-44 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (524).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Haze. Slight
                    chance of showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....84-89...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter...except 27 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (214).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.51 in.
Chance of Thunder...38 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-152300-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
224 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Haze.
Max Temperature.....87-92.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (578).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Haze.
Min Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....86-91.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (415).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.46 in.
Chance of Thunder...42 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND
60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSB