Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
235
FNUS53 KAPX 151856
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
256 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
...Showers and Storms Sweep Across Michigan this Sunday...
.DISCUSSION...Cloud cover will begin to increase overnight proceeded
by showers and storms sweeping across Michigan`s LP Sunday morning. Rainfall
amounts are expected to vary widely, with most areas expecting only a
few hundredths to quarter inch of QPF. A few localized areas near the
Huron shoreline may observe rainfall totals over an inch. Winds turn
breezy from the northwest Sunday afternoon followed by precipitation
free weather this Monday.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-160815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
256 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....64-69.
24 HR Trend......17 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (36).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........66-71 percent.
24 HR Trend......30 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (300).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the west around
15 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.47 in.
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63...except 65-70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (41).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.23 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......27 percent drier...except 18 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (639).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-160815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
256 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms until 1200, then
numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 70-75 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
24 HR Trend......25 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (247).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the west around
12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.77 in.
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Numerous showers
and scattered thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.43 in.
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......28 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (636).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-160815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
256 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....64-69.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer...except 9 degrees warmer
near the coast.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 6 percent wetter along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
24 HR Trend......36 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (305).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph shifting to the
northwest around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.27 in.
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63...except 66-71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 8 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in .
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......27 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (542).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-160815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
256 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....64-69.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier...except 7 percent wetter along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until
1200. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 72-77 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent.
24 HR Trend......27 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (368).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph shifting to the west
around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.27 in.
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62...except 64-69 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......25 percent drier...except 18 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (627).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-160815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
256 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Patchy fog until
1200. Isolated thunderstorms until 1200.
Scattered showers. Scattered thunderstorms
after 1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent.
24 HR Trend......30 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (328).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph shifting to the west around
12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.44 in.
Chance of Thunder...32 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.22 in.
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......30 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (722).
Mixing Height.......6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SJC