012
FNUS53 KAPX 061928
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
228 PM EST Thu Nov 6 2025

...Trending Wetter and Snowier...

.DISCUSSION... A disturbance brings a period of rain showers to
the region tonight into Friday, with winds increasing
considerably. SW winds anticipated to be sustained 10 to 15mph,
with some 20ft gusts easily exceeding 30mph at times. Looking
ahead, sharply colder air builds... with most of the area`s first
snowflakes anticipated to fly over the course of the weekend...
with potential for accumulating lake effect snowfall into next
week, primarily for spots west of US 131 and along Lake Huron
south of Alpena.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-070915-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
228 PM EST Thu Nov 6 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 17 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.24 in.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    west in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (539).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 21 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.18 in.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400. Chance of snow showers.
Min Temperature.....26-31...except 33-38 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (139).
Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 22 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (258).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-070915-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
228 PM EST Thu Nov 6 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40...except 42-47 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.16 in.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (482).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min Temperature.....24-29...except 32-37 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (159).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....39-44...except 31-36 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (308).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-070915-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
228 PM EST Thu Nov 6 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....38-43...except 46-51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer...except 5 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (52).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.24 in.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    west in the afternoon. Gusts up to 35 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (593).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 21 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.13 in.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....26-31...except 34-39 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (218).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and snow showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (244).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-070915-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
228 PM EST Thu Nov 6 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (54).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.23 in.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 HR Trend......29 percent wetter...except 22 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    west in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (575).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph shifting to the west
                    around 21 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....27-32.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (167).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max Temperature.....39-44.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent...except 57-62 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 8 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (310).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-070915-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
228 PM EST Thu Nov 6 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (39).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.17 in.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    west in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (544).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph shifting to the west
                    around 21 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....25-30.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (96).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (302).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.VETERANS DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

HAD