079
FNUS73 KAPX 101058
FWSAPX

Spot Forecast for Wolf creek piles...USFS
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
558 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on December 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Accumulating snow will continue at the burn site for the next
several hours, ending around 1000-1100. Additional snowfall amounts
around 2" are anticipated by that time. North 20 ft winds will
increase to around 10-15 mph this morning, eventually turning to
northwest winds by this evening with gusts as high as 25-30 mph
through the day. Temperatures in the mid to upper 20s are in store
for this afternoon. No RH concerns are expected today.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers late in the morning, then slight chance
                    of snow showers early in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 30.
Min humidity........68 percent.
20-foot winds.......North winds 9 to 12 mph with gusts to around 30
                    mph.
Transport winds.....North 17 to 26 mph.
Mixing height.......1200-3000 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Fair to excellent (281.0-757.0) decreasing to
                    fair (239.0) late in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........92  90  87  84  82  80  77  74
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............27  28  29  28  27  25  23  22
RH..............92  85  78  78  71  71  74  68
20 ft wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
20 ft wind spd..13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13
20 ft wind gust.25  25  26  26  26  30  30  30
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.2 2.6 3.0 2.9 3.0 2.7 1.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW
Transp wind spd.17  21  22  23  24  25  26  21
Vrate kt-ft.....281 451 568 689 704 757 717 239
Ventrate Cat....FR  GD  GD  EXL EXL EXL EXL FR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers in the evening. Slight chance of snow
                    showers overnight.
Chance of thunder...3 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 11.
Max humidity........84 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 32 mph
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 21 mph.
Mixing height.......600-1200 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (73.0-239.0).

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........67  59  54  62  76  74  72  68  64  60  59  57
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............19  17  16  15  15  16  16  16  15  15  14  13
RH..............70  73  77  80  80  77  80  80  80  77  76  76
20 ft wind dir..NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 ft wind spd..13  13  13  6   6   6   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 ft wind gust.32  32  32  10  10  10  16  16  16  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.21  20  15  14  13  16  16  16  16  14  15  14
Vrate kt-ft.....239 221 98  76  73  106 127 143 127 116 98  112
Ventrate Cat....FR  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Chance of thunder...3 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 27.
Min humidity........68 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 22 mph increasing to 17 to 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......600-2400 ft AGL increasing to 1800-3400 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (76.0-495.0) increasing to good to
                    excellent (468.0-851.0) late in the morning,
                    then decreasing to good (314.0) late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54  55  56  59  61  66  71  75  78  80  78  73
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............13  13  15  17  20  23  25  26  26  26  26  25
RH..............76  84  80  84  81  74  68  68  68  68  71  74
20 ft wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 ft wind spd..8   8   8   9   9   9   10  10  10  9   9   9
20 ft wind gust.15  15  15  18  18  18  20  20  20  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 1.5 1.6 2.4 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.2 2.9 2.4 1.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.14  13  15  16  21  22  24  25  24  22  20  17
Vrate kt-ft.....98  76  224 254 495 649 787 851 788 637 468 314
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL GD  GD

$$
Forecaster...DJC
Requested by...Travis Wiltse
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527337.0/APX
.DELDT 12/10/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL travis.a.wiltse@usda.gov