Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
783
FNUS73 KAPX 031226
FWSAPX
Spot Forecast for LostCreek9...USFS
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
726 AM EST Wed Dec 3 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EST on December 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Additional light snow currently stretching across northwest lower
Michigan will continue to move east this morning, working over the
burn site in the next 1-2 hours and potentially hanging around into
late morning. More snow showers will be possible through the
afternoon after a cold front swings through late this morning. Snow
accumulations are expected to stay around 0.5" or less through this
evening. Behind the aforementioned cold front, current southwest 20
ft winds between 10-15 mph will turn to northwest winds this
afternoon, gusting between 20-30 mph at times. Temperatures in the
upper 20s to low 30s with wind chills in the upper teens are
expected through this afternoon.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of snow showers
early in the morning, then snow showers likely
in the late morning and afternoon.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 31.
Min humidity........78 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 9 mph with gusts to around
25 mph shifting to the northwest around 8 mph
with gusts to around 24 mph late in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 17 to 23 mph shifting to the northwest 16
to 20 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......600-2400 ft AGL increasing to 1300-2900 ft AGL
in the afternoon.
Ventilation index...Poor to excellent (109.0-603.0) increasing to
fair to excellent (213.0-676.0) in the
afternoon.
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........93 93 92 91 92 91 90 88 88 84 85
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0
Temp............27 27 28 29 30 31 31 31 31 29 27
RH..............92 92 92 88 85 85 81 78 78 78 81
20 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW
20 ft wind spd..10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 10 10
20 ft wind gust.17 17 25 25 25 24 24 24 21 21 21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.7 1.9 1.3
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW NW
Transp wind spd.17 17 17 20 23 22 23 20 20 17 16
Vrate kt-ft.....118 109 213 349 550 603 676 560 524 335 213
Ventrate Cat....PR PR FR GD GD EXL EXL GD GD GD FR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Snow showers
likely early in the evening, then chance of
snow showers.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 7 above.
Max humidity........81 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 8 mph with gusts to around
22 mph.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......700-1300 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (102.0-246.0).
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........83 81 79 69 67 65 65 70 67 69 69 62
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............25 22 20 18 17 15 14 14 13 12 11 10
RH..............78 81 81 77 73 77 76 73 73 70 73 73
20 ft wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W NW NW NW
20 ft wind spd..9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10
20 ft wind gust.22 22 22 22 22 22 20 20 20 22 22 22
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.2 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.16 17 17 17 18 17 15 18 18 20 20 20
Vrate kt-ft.....179 203 181 155 179 140 102 150 169 246 211 216
Ventrate Cat....FR FR FR FR FR FR PR FR FR FR FR FR
$$
Forecaster...MSB
Requested by...Joseph Krupp
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526944.0/APX
.DELDT 12/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.d.krupp@usda.gov