Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
586
FNUS73 KAPX 090919
FWSAPX
Spot Forecast for Link...USFS
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
519 AM EDT Sat May 9 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...Cold front will cross the burn location, forcing
winds to veer west with its passage. May see a few sprinkles with
this frontal passage, and perhaps even a few light additional
showers this afternoon, but confidence in any rain impacting the
exact burn location remains very low (if rain does occur, amounts
will likely remain very limited). Relative humidity will mix out
later this morning and afternoon, although flow off Lake Michigan
should keep readings a bit elevated compared to further inland
areas. Still expecting RH values to drop to near 40 percent
through this afternoon (although proximity to Lake Michigan
influence does make for a very challenging relative humidity
forecast). Winds will be a touch gusty at times, perhaps exceeding
critical levels. Good RH recovery tonight with again humidity
readings likely dropping below 40 percent for Sunday afternoon.
Expect mixing heights to top out around 3kft today, with those
heights falling quickly tonight.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers late in the morning. Chance of
rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...3 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........40 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph in
the late morning and early afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......1100-2900 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (120.0-376.0).
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72 81 80 85 74 66 65 63
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............54 55 56 56 56 57 57 57
RH..............55 45 40 42 42 43 45 47
20 ft wind dir..W W W W W W W W
20 ft wind spd..9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10
20 ft wind gust.22 22 21 21 21 18 18 18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.1 2.1 1.8 2.2 2.9 2.8 2.9
Transp wind dir.W NW NW W NW W NW NW
Transp wind spd.14 12 16 18 20 20 18 20
Vrate kt-ft.....120 120 229 198 308 376 336 346
Ventrate Cat....PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly clear (15-25 percent). Chance of rain
showers early in the evening. Areas of frost
after 3 am.
Chance of thunder...3 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........79 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph with gusts to around
20 mph early in the evening becoming light.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 17 mph shifting to the north 5
to 12 mph in the late evening and overnight,
then shifting to the west 5 to 6 mph after 3
am.
Mixing height.......1000-2800 ft AGL decreasing to 400-600 ft AGL
in the late evening and overnight.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (16.0-335.0).
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........55 51 35 20 23 20 14 13 9 10 16 25
Weather cov.....CHC CHC ARS ARS
Weather type....RW RW FST FST
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............56 56 54 50 47 45 42 40 39 38 37 37
RH..............45 43 45 46 47 51 57 62 67 79 79 79
20 ft wind dir..NW NW NW N N N NE NE NE SW SW SW
20 ft wind spd..9 9 9 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1
20 ft wind gust.20 20 20 10 10 10 8 8 8 6 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW NW N N N N N NE NE N W W
Transp wind spd.17 14 13 12 10 9 8 7 5 5 5 6
Vrate kt-ft.....335 156 112 58 54 43 32 26 17 16 16 21
Ventrate Cat....GD FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of frost
early in the morning.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........38 percent.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 15 mph shifting to the northwest 14
to 18 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-2100 ft AGL increasing to 4900-5800 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (22.0-481.0) increasing to good to
excellent (542.0-924.0) in the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........20 41 40 39 27 52 49 49 42 29 25 21
Weather cov.....ARS
Weather type....FST
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............37 38 40 43 47 49 50 51 52 52 52 53
RH..............79 79 76 65 53 48 44 41 38 38 38 38
20 ft wind dir..SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 ft wind spd..3 3 3 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 ft wind gust.10 10 10 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 2.1 3.0 3.7 4.2 5.5 5.8 5.6 5.1 4.9
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.6 7 8 12 14 15 15 17 18 17 16 14
Vrate kt-ft.....22 26 39 205 364 481 542 821 924 835 711 591
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR FR GD GD GD EXL EXL EXL EXL GD
$$
Forecaster...MSB
Requested by...Joe Raspotnik
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613171.0/APX
.DELDT 05/09/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brian.stearns@usda.gov,joeseph.raspotnik@usda.gov,dean.chambers@usda.gov