994
FXUS63 KARX 051825
AFDARX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
1225 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Drier for the end of the week and well into next week. Near
  normal temperatures on the docket to end the week with another
  stretch of warmer weather to start next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1224 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

Next Seven Days: Drier and Back to Above Normal Temps Starting Sunday

17z WV satellite shows an upper trough advancing southeastward over
IA/MN/WI/Lake Superior. On the visible satellite, widespread
stratocumulus is present across the Upper Midwest. Northerly winds
are present across the forecast area as a cold front departs to the
south. Temperatures are around 50, just a hair below normal for
early November.

With heights aloft still relatively low as the upper trough slowly
departs, highs in the 40s are expected for Friday. With heights
aloft building through Monday, highs will return to solidly above
normal, likely (60-90% along, south of I-94 per 05.13z NBM) in
the 60s. The arrival of a pair of upper troughs, the first
Monday night and the second Wednesday, will moderate
temperatures somewhat, with highs in the 50s favored next
Tuesday and Wednesday, still a bit above normal.

As for precipitation, available moisture with each of the
aforementioned waves is lacking, particularly with Monday night`s
trough. However, 05.12z GFS does suggest some mid-level saturation
following the frontal passage associated with the wave next
Wednesday, which could lead to a light post-frontal shower or two if
this feature moves through during the daytime hours. Post-frontal
showers are a low possiblity for now (15%), mainly appearing in the
operational GFS and a few 05.00z ECENS members. Either way, impacts
are not expected.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1114 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

IFR to MVFR ceilings are currently being observed at the
terminals. The clouds will continue to slowly lift throughout
the day into overnight hours and VFR conditions are forecast to
return between 06-12z and should stay that way through the
remainder of this TAF cycle. Brief visibility reductions may
still occur today as drizzle/sprinkles fall at the sites.
Otherwise, the wind will remain out of the north over the next
24 hours with some gusts up to 20-25 kts during the daytime
hours today.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
MN...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Ferguson
AVIATION...Muscha