Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
802
FONT12 KNHC 201448
PWSAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022026
1500 UTC MON JUL 20 2026
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
APALACHICOLA 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GFAM 290N 850W 34 10 5(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 1(18)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 1 6( 7) 4(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) 1(14)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GFAM 290N 870W 34 11 34(45) 18(63) 2(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66)
GFAM 290N 870W 50 X 3( 3) 7(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
GFAM 290N 870W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) X(14) X(14)
GFAM 280N 890W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) 6(22) 1(23) X(23)
GFAM 280N 890W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
HOUMA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
GFAM 280N 910W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 9(11) 3(14) X(14)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
GFAM 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)
LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
GFAM 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
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FORECASTER BEVEN