Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
218 FXUS64 KBMX 031130 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 630 AM CDT Wed Sep 3 2025 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday) Issued at 1222 AM CDT WED SEP 3 2025 Patchy fog appears to be developing across parts of western Central Alabama, mainly in areas that received rainfall yesterday afternoon. Any fog should clear quickly after sunrise. Highs will be in the upper 80s this afternoon, with 90 possible in spots. Model guidance shows some support for more rain and a few thunderstorms across western and northern counties again this afternoon as a shortwave passes through the Ohio Valley to the north. Maintained 15-25% rain chances given uncertainty about coverage. Thursday will be a tick warmer, now into the upper 80s to low 90s in more areas. Yet another shortwave will pass though the Midwest and Ohio Valley, which will increase chances for showers again, this time more likely across northern and northeastern counties of Central Alabama Thursday morning into the afternoon. 12 && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1222 AM CDT WED SEP 3 2025 Friday should be dry across most of Central Alabama, and temperatures are likely to rise into the low to mid 90s. A front will approach from the northwest by Friday evening, bringing low rain chances across the north and ultimately west from Friday night into Saturday afternoon. Without a ton of moisture to work with, widespread rainfall appears unlikely with the front at this time. Another day of highs in the low to mid 90s across southern and southeastern counties ahead of the front on Saturday before Central Alabama sees the return of low to mid 80s in most areas Sunday and beyond. Additional rain chances appear possible during next week, however confidence is currently low. 12 && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 627 AM CDT WED SEP 3 2025 VFR conditions will continue through the forecast period. SHRA/TSRA development is forecast to remain to the north of Central Alabama terminals, and have left out any mention of weather as of this TAF cycle. Some patchy river fog was affecting TCL this morning, but should mix out fairly quickly after sunrise. Winds will remain light from the southwest or variable through the period. 56/GDG && .FIRE WEATHER... Min RH values will range from 35-50% this afternoon and Thursday afternoon across central and southern counties, with chances for isolated to scattered showers across northern portions of the area through Thursday, associated with shortwave activity. Moisture values will remain relatively steady for the next few days, and will be above critical thresholds. 20ft winds will continue to be light and variable today, increasing to 5-7 mph from the southwest by Thursday. There are no fire weather concerns at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 86 63 88 66 / 20 10 20 0 Anniston 86 65 88 67 / 10 10 20 0 Birmingham 87 67 89 69 / 20 10 20 0 Tuscaloosa 89 67 92 70 / 20 20 10 0 Calera 88 67 90 69 / 20 10 10 0 Auburn 87 67 88 69 / 10 10 0 0 Montgomery 90 67 91 69 / 10 10 0 0 Troy 89 66 90 68 / 0 10 0 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...12 LONG TERM....12 AVIATION...56/GDG