Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
240 FXUS64 KBRO 130447 AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1047 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, CLIMATE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1040 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 - There is an elevated risk of rip currents this weekend into next week. - Above normal temperatures are expected through the forecast period with breezy southeasterly winds. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1040 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 A deep 500mb trough across New England gradually works offshore into the weekend, with high pressure building across Deep South Texas into next week. Expect a rinse and repeat early October type pattern with a warm southerly breeze each afternoon and well above normal temperatures. Southeasterly winds increase slightly Monday through Wednesday as the pressure gradient strengthens. Forecast highs may approach records across the RGV Sunday through Tuesday. Life-threatening rip currents are expected along the lower Texas coast. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1040 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 VFR conditions prevail through the TAF period with breezy southeasterly winds returning through the day on Thursday. && .MARINE... Issued at 1040 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 Breezy southeasterly winds persist each afternoon into next week due to a strong pressure gradient along the lower Texas coast. SCEC to borderline SCA conditions are possible nearly every day Monday through Wednesday, especially across the bay. && .CLIMATE... Issued at 1040 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 Daily record high temperatures may be approached, tied, or broken across the RGV Sunday through Tuesday. Brownsville Record Highs...Forecast Highs Mon, Nov 17...91/2015...90 Tue, Nov 18...92/2024...91 Harlingen Record Highs...Forecast Highs Tue, Nov 18...91/2024...91 McAllen Record Highs...Forecast Highs Sun, Nov 16...93/2011...92 Mon, Nov 17...92/2024...94 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 66 85 67 85 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 60 88 61 87 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 63 89 64 90 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 60 90 61 90 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 73 81 73 80 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 65 85 66 84 / 0 0 0 0 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...56-Hallman LONG TERM....56-Hallman AVIATION...56-Hallman