


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
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277 FXUS64 KBRO 110337 AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1037 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1015 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 After several days of isolated to scattered showers/thunderstorms, a much more tranquil weather pattern will become established and persist. This will be due to 500 mb high pressure, the center of which will ease northeast from Mexico to the Lone Star State, but remain the dominant weather feature over Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley. Dry weather is anticipated for the BRO CWFA for the vast majority of the period. However, a shot of convection is forecast for Tuesday, as a burst of deeper tropical moisture moves from the southeast out of the Bay of Campeche and western Gulf of America. Temperature-wise, although no extreme values are forecast, daytime highs and overnight lows will run above normal for this time of year. Finally, at the local beaches, an elevated risk of rip currents is likely through at least the middle of the new work week next week. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 622 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 High pressure in the middle layers of the atmosphere will produce VFR conditions at the aerodromes through the next 24 hours. && .MARINE... Issued at 1015 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 Light to moderate winds and low to moderate seas are expected along the Lower Texas Coast throughout the period courtesy of persistent high pressure over the western Gulf of America. Small Craft Should Exercise Caution and Small Craft Advisory are not likely to be needed. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 71 90 69 88 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 67 92 64 90 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 71 95 67 94 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 65 93 65 93 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 79 85 77 84 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 72 87 69 87 / 0 0 0 0 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 AM CDT Saturday for TXZ451-454- 455. High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for TXZ451-454- 455. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM/LONG TERM...Tomaselli-66 UPPER AIR...Evbuoma-23