Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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245
FNUS51 KBUF 131805
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
104 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Mainly lake effect rain showers will continue today and into Friday
morning. After a brief period of dry weather Friday and into
Saturday, unsettled weather then returns for the later half of the
weekend. Another round of lake effect showers will follow early in
the week.

NYZ201-132100-
Lake Ontario Plains-
104 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Fri
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain     Frz Rain     Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  60           60           30
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       43           24           44
Min/Max Humidity (%)               65          100           59
AM Wind (mph)                W  8 G23                     NW  5
PM Wind (mph)               NW  9 G23         W  6        NW  6
Precip Amount                    0.13         0.05         0.01
Precip Duration                     6            3            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         6 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           4300                      4330
Transport Wind (kts)            NW 14        NW 13        NW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               60200            0        56290
Dispersion Index                   60            0           56
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-132100-
Southern Tier-
104 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Fri
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain     Frz Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)                  40           30            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       42           27           43
Min/Max Humidity (%)               51          100           55
AM Wind (mph)                W 10 G23                     NW  6
PM Wind (mph)                W 11 G23         W  8        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.06         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration                     2            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         4 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           5340                      4840
Transport Wind (kts)            NW 25        NW 14        NW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              133500            0        87120
Dispersion Index                  134            0           87
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Highs in the
lower 50s.
.SUNDAY...Rain showers with snow showers likely. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow and rain showers likely. Lows
around 30. Highs in the upper 30s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the lower
40s.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND SATURDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...West 10 to 15 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$