931
FNUS51 KBUF 161405
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1004 AM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

.DISCUSSION...
No significant fire weather concerns are expected.

NYZ201-162000-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1004 AM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  30           60           30
Chance of Thunder (%)              20           20            0
Max/Min Temp                       84           63           80
Min/Max Humidity (%)               49          100           54
AM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                    S  6         S  6        NW  6
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.10         0.06
Precip Duration                     1            3            2
Precip Begin                     4 PM         7 PM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         6 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           5040          420         5610
Transport Wind (kts)             S 12        SW  8        NW 11
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               60480         3360        61710
Dispersion Index                   71            2           66
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-162000-
Southern Tier-
1004 AM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  40           60           50
Chance of Thunder (%)              40           50           20
Max/Min Temp                       81           64           78
Min/Max Humidity (%)               61          100           60
AM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                    S  7      Lgt/Var        NW  6
Precip Amount                    0.05         0.14         0.06
Precip Duration                     1            6            2
Precip Begin                     2 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         6 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           4500          430         5240
Transport Wind (kts)             S 13        SW  8        NW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               58500         3440        68120
Dispersion Index                   65            3           68
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the lower 60s.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Patchy fog. Highs in the upper 70s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the upper 70s.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND TUESDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$