737
FNUS51 KBUF 130605
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
104 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Lake effect precipitation will continue Thursday and into Friday
morning, though milder temperatures will allow for mostly rain. A
brief period of dry weather expected early this weekend before
unsettled weather returns by the second half of the weekend.

NYZ201-130900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
104 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

                            Overnight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain     Frz Rain     Frz Rain      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  50           60           50           30
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       31           43           25           44
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           67          100           61
AM Wind (mph)                             W  9 G22                     NW  5
PM Wind (mph)                             W  9 G22        NW  6        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.06         0.14         0.05         0.01
Precip Duration                     1            6            2            2
Precip Begin                     1 AM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing         6 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        4270                      3990
Transport Wind (kts)             W 13        NW 15        NW 14        NW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        64050            0        47880
Dispersion Index                    0           64            0           48
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-130900-
Southern Tier-
104 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

                            Overnight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None     Frz Rain     Frz Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0           40           30            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       32           42           28           43
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           55          100           55
AM Wind (mph)                             W 11 G22                     NW  6
PM Wind (mph)                             W 11 G23         W  8        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.06         0.05         0.00
Precip Duration                                  2            2
Precip Begin                                  6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        4850                      4760
Transport Wind (kts)             W 15        NW 26        NW 13        NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       126100            0        80920
Dispersion Index                    0          126            0           81
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the lower 50s.
.SUNDAY...Rain with snow showers likely. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow and rain showers likely. Lows
around 30. Highs in the upper 30s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows around 30. Highs in the lower 40s.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND SATURDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...West 10 to 15 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West around 15 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...West around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$