901
FNUS51 KBUF 172104
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 PM EST Mon Nov 17 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Deep low pressure over the Canadian Maritimes will withdraw
northward across Labrador through Tuesday, while high pressure and
drier air builds east into our region from the Upper Great Lakes.
While this will generally result in lingering lake effect snow
showers diminishing from west to east through Tuesday with only
limited additional accumulations...some localized moderate
accumulations are expected east-southeast of Lake Ontario between
tonight and the first part of Tuesday morning. Weak low pressure
passing by to our south may then bring a few spotty light rain and
snow showers to the Southern Tier Tuesday night...with dry weather
and seasonable temperatures otherwise expected to prevail Tuesday
night through Thursday.

NYZ201-180900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 PM EST Mon Nov 17 2025

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       24           41           21           43
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           53          100           52
AM Wind (mph)                                 W  6                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                W  8 G23         W  6      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        4180                      4010
Transport Wind (kts)            NW 17         W 14         W  5         W  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        58520            0        24060
Dispersion Index                    0           59            0           24
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-180900-
Southern Tier-
404 PM EST Mon Nov 17 2025

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       24           41           24           43
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           42          100           45
AM Wind (mph)                                 W  5                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)               NW  9 G21      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        5250                      3930
Transport Wind (kts)            NW 17         W 14        SW  4        NW  4
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        73500            0        15720
Dispersion Index                    0           74            0           16
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
40s.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND THURSDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$