852
FNUS51 KBUF 121505
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1004 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Lake effect rain and wet snow focused northeast of both lakes early
this morning will continue to change over to rain through the course
of the day. Lake effect precipitation will continue Thursday and
into Friday, though milder temperatures will allow for mostly plain
rain. A brief period of areawide dry weather expected early this
weekend before unsettled weather returns by early next week.

NYZ201-122100-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1004 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Thu
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                 Snow/rain      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  80           70           70
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       44           29           44
Min/Max Humidity (%)               76          100           67
AM Wind (mph)               SW  9 G21                  W  8 G20
PM Wind (mph)               SW  9 G23     W  8 G22     W  9 G22
Precip Amount                    0.19         0.15         0.09
Precip Duration                    12            8           11
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           3300                      4560
Transport Wind (kts)            SW 15         W 16        NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               49500            0        77520
Dispersion Index                   50            0           78
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-122100-
Southern Tier-
1004 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Thu
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                 Snow/rain      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  80           80           60
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       42           31           43
Min/Max Humidity (%)               65          100           55
AM Wind (mph)               SW 11 G22                  W 10 G21
PM Wind (mph)                W 10 G23     W  9 G23     W 10 G22
Precip Amount                    0.16         0.12         0.03
Precip Duration                    11            9            6
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           3300                      4830
Transport Wind (kts)             W 20         W 16         W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               66000            0       120750
Dispersion Index                   66            0          121
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely and a
chance of rain showers. Lows in the lower 30s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of snow showers. Highs in
the lower 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the upper 40s.
.SUNDAY...Rain with freezing rain likely. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain and snow likely. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs around 40.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers and
freezing rain. Lows around 30. Highs around 40.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...West around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...West around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$