550
FXUS62 KCHS 030614
AFDCHS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston SC
114 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
All sections have been updated.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
- 1) Scattered showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms
  possible Thursday and Friday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Scattered showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms
possible Thursday and Friday.

A mid level trough and associated cold front will approach the
region late week. The best forcing will pass to the north, but
deeper moisture will spread into the area, noted by PWats climbing
to over 1.5". Rain chances will increase as a result with scattered
showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms possible Thursday and
especially Friday. Highest coverage is expected over inland areas.
Rainfall amounts look rather unimpressive, with NBM indicating only
a 10-25% chance for precip greater than 0.25" in a 24 hour period.
Drier air moves back in following fropa later Friday with a dry
forecast for the weekend.

Otherwise, temperatures will be on the warmer side of normal this
week. Highs are forecast to peak in the low to mid 80s most
days.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
6Z TAFs: VFR. A sfc ridge will continue across the region through
the TAF period. As temperatures warm into the low 80s today, a weak
sea breeze should develop and advance inland. By 15z, the TAFs will
feature a east-northeast wind at KJZI with gusts around 20 kts with
an east wind at KCHS and KSAV. Wind gusts should end by 22Z, with
speeds around 10 kts remaining through the rest of the TAF
period.

Extended Aviation Outlook: Isolated to scattered shower coverage
is expected on Thursday and Friday. Any flight restrictions
with the showers will be brief.

&&

.MARINE...
Tonight: The surface pattern should generally support NE winds
between 15 to 20 kts and gusts around 25 kts through the near term.
As a result, wave heights should remain between 5 to 7 ft. Small
Craft Advisories will remain in effect for all nearshore waters out
20 nm and the 20 to 60 nm offshore GA waters. However, winds
continue a weaker trend across the Charleston Harbor post sunset,
and therefore support ending a Small Craft Advisory across the
harbor for the night.

Tuesday through Saturday: High pressure situated to the north will
drift further over the north Atlantic on Tuesday. This will keep the
tight pressure gradient and enhanced northeast flow across the local
waters going with speeds mostly in the 15-20 knot range. By
Wednesday, the gradient will relax and winds will turn more easterly
with speeds no more than 10-15 knots. Then for Thursday, a front
will approach from the west and winds will turn more southerly and
light (5-10 knots). The front is expected to pass through Friday and
Friday night with no significant surge behind it. Ongoing Small
Craft Advisories will come to an end across the nearshore waters on
Tuesday with decreasing winds and seas. The advisory for the outer
GA waters will extend into Wednesday to account for lingering 6 ft
seas.

&&

.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for AMZ360-
     362.
     Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for AMZ364.
     Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ384.

&&

$$

ETM/NED