925
FXUS62 KCHS 111136
AFDCHS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston SC
636 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will prevail through Saturday, then an arctic
cold front will sweep through late Sunday. Dry high pressure
will then rebuild.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Today: Aloft, a deep trough associated with an impressive upper
low on the eastern periphery of the Great Lakes will swing
through the Southeast. At the surface, cold high pressure will
build into the region behind the long departed cold front well
offshore. Overall, a very quiet and chilly day. After some
cirrus passes through in the morning, clear skies will prevail
through the rest of the day. Expect northwest winds through the
morning, gradually turning more westerly through sunset.
Temperatures will certainly be on the chilly side, with low 50s
for southeast SC and low to mid 50s for southeast GA. Such
values would be on the order of 10 degrees below normal.

Tonight: With high pressure across the area and clear skies,
good radiational cooling conditions will be in place across the
forecast area. Lows are forecast to fall below freezing away
from the coastal corridor, with a few of the typical cold spots
dipping into the upper 20s. Along the coast, mid to upper 30s
will be common.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A zonal flow will exist Friday into Saturday while the surface
high moves off the Southeast coast. Dry weather and warming
temperatures expected.

An arctic cold front will approach from the northwest Saturday
night, then sweep through Sunday afternoon or evening. Moisture
and forcing will be weak but isolated rain showers could
accompany the frontal passage on Sunday. Temperatures will
rapidly drop Sunday evening behind the front.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Strong cold advection behind the front will bring chilly
temperatures Monday morning, along with nippy wind chills. Lows
will dip into the low to mid 20s away from the coast while wind
chills late Sunday night will range from 10-15 degrees for
several hours. A Cold Weather Advisory looks increasingly likely
for much of the area.

Monday will remain chilly with highs only in the lower 40s and
wind chills in the 30s. Another chilly night expected Monday
night, but this time due to calm winds, clear skies, and strong
radiational cooling.

A warming trend will occur heading into the middle of next week
as the arctic high shifts offshore.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR conditions will prevail at KCHS, KJZI, and KSAV through 06z
Friday. Winds could get a bit breezy through sunrise as a cold
front passes through.

Extended Aviation Outlook: VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Today through tonight: Winds and seas will both continue to
diminish this morning such that all Small Craft Advisories will
come down by midday. By the afternoon expect northwest winds
mostly in the 10-15 knot range. Overnight, wind speeds will
remain similar while wind direction becomes more westerly. Seas
will steadily decrease through the day and will then be mostly
2-3 feet overnight.

Sunday afternoon through Monday will be quite windy over the
waters as strong high pressure builds in behind an arctic cold
front. At a minimum, solid Small Craft Advisory conditions are
anticipated for all waters. A period of Gale force gusts is
increasingly likely for Sunday night, particularly the
Charleston nearshore and GA offshore waters.

&&

.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for AMZ350.
     Small Craft Advisory until noon EST today for AMZ374.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BSH
SHORT TERM...JRL
LONG TERM...JRL
AVIATION...BSH/JRL
MARINE...BSH/JRL